PGA MASTERS TournamentMasters Tournament Winner?
Rory McIlroy
22%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Bryson DeChambeau
20%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––ROUND 3
·$40,527,417
Fed decision in May?
No change
77%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Cut 25bps
19%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$25,677,003
Gas prices in the US this month?
Above 3.15
53%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 3.10
66%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,314,779
Inflation in April? (CPI YoY)
Above 2.4%
39%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 2.3%
70%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$4,757,673
"The Amateur" Rotten Tomatoes score?
Above 60
79%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 62
17%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$798,641
Who will be the Democratic nominee in 2028?
Gavin Newsom
17%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Josh Shapiro
11%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$2,638,168
Who will be the Canadian Prime Minister after the next election?
Liberal Party
80%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Conservative Party
21%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,533,415
Pro Men's Basketball Champion?
Oklahoma City
34%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Boston
30%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$5,843,203
Fed funds rate in May?
Above 4.25%
81%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 4.00%
94%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$29,585,260
CPI in April?
Above 0.2%
66%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 0.3%
24%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$7,112,369
Jobs numbers this month?
Above 150,000
64%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 200,000
34%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$3,027,880
How many seats will the Conservatives win in the Canadian election?
120 to 139
36%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––100 to 119
18%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$187,351
US GDP growth in Q1 2025?
Above 0.5%
54%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 1.0%
38%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$2,348,723
How much government spending will Trump and Elon cut this year?
At least 1 billion
38%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––At least 25 billion
27%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$3,193,760
Pro Basketball Western Conference Finals Winner?
Oklahoma City
56%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Los Angeles L
16%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,562,080
"Warfare" Rotten Tomatoes score?
Above 93
62%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 92
94%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$228,731
Next government of Canada?
Liberal majority
68%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Conservative majority
13%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$424,948
What will be the top AI model this month?
Gemini-2.5-Pro-Exp-03-25
44%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––ChatGPT-4o-latest (2025-03-26)
5%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$982,915
Highest temperature in NYC today?
41° to 42°
47%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Parlay
40° or below
31%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Parlay
$39,597,938·Daily
13h 17m 30s
Highest temperature in LA today?
69° to 70°
36%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––67° to 68°
36%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$4,852,699·Daily
16h 17m 30s
Highest temperature in Denver today?
86° to 87°
55%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Parlay
84° to 85°
32%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Parlay
$16,478,315·Daily
15h 17m 30s
Top US Netflix show this week?
Bad Influence: The Dark Side of Kidfluencing: Season 1
92%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Black Mirror: Season 7
8%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$935,885·Weekly
UFC 314UFC 314: Volkanovski vs Lopes
Alex Volkanovski
58%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Diego Lopes
43%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$656,318
ATP Monte Carlo (M) · SemifinalDavidovich Fokina vs Alcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz
99%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
1%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$184,980
ATP Monte Carlo (M) · SemifinalMusetti vs de Minaur
Musetti22¢
$100 → $410Minaur83¢
$100 → $119LIVE
·$184,980
What countries will Trump visit in the first year?
France
47%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––South Korea
54%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$629,049
Will Trump declassify Epstein documents in his first 100 days?
Yes
$100 → $686No
$100 → $111$3,291,292
Highest temperature in Austin today?
90° to 91°
51%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Parlay
88° to 89°
45%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Parlay
$28,587,294·Daily
14h 17m 30s
Highest temperature in Miami today?
83° to 84°
54%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Parlay
81° to 82°
31%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Parlay
$20,627,288·Daily
13h 17m 30s
Top USA Song on Spotify today?
NOKIA
86%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––luther (with sza)
15%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$16,811,171·Daily
13h 17m 30s
Who will be the Republican nominee in 2028?
J.D. Vance
43%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Tulsi Gabbard
10%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,469,596
Best AI this month?
Gemini
54%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––ChatGPT
37%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$4,799,791
Champions League Winner?
Barcelona
35%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Paris Saint-Germain
26%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,048,582
"Sinners" Rotten Tomatoes score?
Above 95
53%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 97
26%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$83,934
How many Elon Musk posts on X this week?
250 to 299
28%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––200 to 249
28%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$948,599·Weekly
F1 Bahrain Grand PrixF1 Bahrain Grand Prix Winner?
Lando Norris
41%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Oscar Piastri
42%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$134,386
Highest temperature in Philadelphia today?
44° to 45°
43%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Parlay
42° to 43°
32%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Parlay
$8,051,347·Daily
13h 17m 30s
Highest temperature in Chicago today?
61° or above
80%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Parlay
59° to 60°
23%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Parlay
$33,572,074·Daily
14h 17m 30s
Top US Netflix movie this week?
The Croods
44%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––One of Them Days
14%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$413,280·Weekly
How high will Bitcoin get this year?
$125,000 or above
36%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$150,000 or above
21%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$3,020,393
"The Last of Us: Season 2" Rotten Tomatoes score?
Above 92
75%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 95
9%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$108,268
How many Gold Cards will Trump sell this year?
1 to 100
22%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––0
21%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$128,920
Pro Baseball NL West Division Winner?
Los Angeles D
81%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––San Diego
7%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$16,211
Who will win the South Korean presidential election?
Lee Jae-myung
74%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Kim Moon-soo
98%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$6,544
Which cryptocurrencies will have positive return this year?
Bitcoin
70%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Ripple
33%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$71,537
Who will the Trump admin name to a specific position before May?
Kari Lake
31%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Natalie Harp
9%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$3,955,547
Who will win the Ecuadorian Election?
Luisa González
65%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Daniel Noboa
39%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$130,915
Champions LeagueArsenal vs Real Madrid
Arsenal FC
87%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Real Madrid
13%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,213,158
How much will the government increase spending this year?
At least $100 billion
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––At least $500 billion
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$214,184·Daily
Pro Baseball Champion?
Los Angeles D
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Philadelphia
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$333,001·Daily
Number of rate cuts in 2025?
2 cuts
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––3 cuts
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$8,270,329·Daily
Pro Hockey Champion?
Winnipeg
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Florida
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$963,296·Daily
Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize?
Yulia Navalnaya
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Volodymyr Zelenskyy
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$562,334·Daily
Will Elon Musk leave the DOGE?
Before Jun 16, 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before Jan 1, 2026
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$887,829·Daily
How much will core PCE increase in March 2025?
Above 0.0%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 0.1%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$181,188·Daily
Measles cases this year?
Above 4000
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 5000
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$296,974·Daily
How many Cabinet members will Trump fire this year?
1
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––0
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$48,588·Daily
Pro Basketball Eastern Conference Finals Winner?
Boston
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Cleveland
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$591,881·Daily
"The Accountant 2" Rotten Tomatoes score?
Above 80
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 75
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$49,545·Daily
When will Bitcoin hit $150k?
Before 2026
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before October
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$739,383·Daily
F1 Drivers Champion?
Lando Norris
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Max Verstappen
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$144,535·Daily
Pro Basketball Playoff Qualifiers?
Atlanta
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Miami
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$37,991·Daily
Pro Baseball NL Central Division Winner?
Chicago C
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Milwaukee
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$22,575·Daily
Who will leave their role in Trump Administration this year?
Peter Navarro
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Howard Lutnick
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$88,843·Daily
Who will win the Mayor election in Oakland?
Barbara Lee
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Loren Taylor
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$18,311·Daily
When will Brian Burch be confirmed as Ambassador to the Vatican?
Before Jun 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before Jul 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$4,882·Daily
CPI core in April?
Above 0.3%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 0.4%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$2,839,349·Daily
Which party will win the most seats in the 2025 Canadian House of Commons Election?
Liberal party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Conservative party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$249,518·Daily
Which party will win the House next year?
Democratic Party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Republican Party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$3,213,608·Daily
Cricket IPL Final Winner?
Royal Challengers Bengaluru
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Delhi Capitals
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$8,744·Daily
How many seats will the Bloc Québécois win in the Canadian election?
16 to 20
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––21 to 25
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$19,864·Daily
Runner-up US iPhone app tomorrow?
Threads
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––The Masters Tournament
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$142,515·Daily
23h 18m 30s
GDP growth in 2025?
0.0 or below
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––0.6 to 1.0
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$245,790·Daily
How many seats will the Green Party win in the Canadian election?
1
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––2
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$13,518·Daily
How low will Bitcoin get this year?
Below $70,000
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Below $60,000
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$452,763·Daily
Runner-up USA Song on Spotify today?
luther (with sza)
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––NOKIA
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$301,819·Daily
13h 17m 30s
Billboard Top 200 #1 on Apr 26, 2025 chart?
MUSIC
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––GNX
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$590,286·Daily
Who will be the Dem NYC Mayor nominee this year?
Andrew Cuomo
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Zohran Mamdani
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,057,533·Daily
TSA avg check-ins from Apr 7 to 13, 2025?
Above 2.5 million
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 2.45 million
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$4,547,301·Daily
Who will release an album this year?
Jack Harlow
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Lil Uzi Vert
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$9,972·Daily
Democratic nominee for Governor in New Jersey?
Mikie Sherrill
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Steven Fulop
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$78,188·Daily
Which party will win the U.S. Senate next year?
Republican Party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Democratic Party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,862,348·Daily
What agencies will Trump and DOGE order to stop working this year?
Department of Education
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––FEMA
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$70,961·Daily
What will Powell say during his May FOMC press conference?
Median
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Consumer confidence
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$665,638·Daily
Coinbase volume in Q1 2025?
Above 400 billion
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 380 billion
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$521,850·Daily
Pro Baseball AL West Division Winner?
Texas
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Houston
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$28,946·Daily
Which agencies will Trump eliminate?
USAID
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––IRS
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$59,832·Daily
How many seats will the Liberal Party win in the Canadian election?
190 to 210
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––180 to 189
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$68,408·Daily
Core inflation in April? (Core CPI YoY)
Above 2.8
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 2.7
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,272,704·Daily
Who will get the 2nd most votes in the Canadian election?
Conservatives
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Liberals
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$81,285·Daily
Will Trump call for John Roberts to retire or be impeached this year?
Yes
$100 → $415No
$100 → $118$4,638
American Country Music Award for Female Artist of the Year?
Kelsea Ballerini
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Lainey Wilson
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,726·Daily
Tesla deliveries this quarter?
375000 or more
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––350000 or more
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$843,362·Daily
"Thunderbolts" Rotten Tomatoes score?
Above 80
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 85
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$30,315·Daily
Which party will win the most seats in the Portuguese general election?
Social Democratic Party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Socialist Party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$4,268·Daily
When will the S&P hit a new all-time high?
Before Oct 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before Dec 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$2,900·Daily
Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?
Howard Lutnick
30%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Scott Bessent
16%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$188,025
Who will win the governorship in Iowa?
Republican
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Democratic
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,254·Daily
Number of tornadoes this month?
Above 300
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 350
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,484,869·Daily
Which vaccines will RFK end recommendations for this year?
COVID-19
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––HPV
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$161,143·Daily
Pro Football Champion?
Buffalo
12%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Kansas City
12%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$27,624,034
Who will win the governorship in Virginia?
Democratic Party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Republican
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$98,913·Daily
Pro Baseball AL East Division Winner?
New York Y
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Boston
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$53,710·Daily
What will Palantir Technologies say on their Next earnings call?
Civil liberties
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Apollo
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$2,986·Daily
Dogecoin price range today at 5pm EDT?
$0.165 to 0.1699999
23%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$0.16 to 0.1649999
28%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$665,555·Daily
6h 18m 30s
GTA 6 release date?
Before December 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before 2026
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$212,782·Daily
Pro Baseball AL Central Division Winner?
Detroit
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Cleveland
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$30,885·Daily
When will Charles Kushner be confirmed as Ambassador to France?
Before Jun 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before Jul 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,709·Daily
US meets its climate goals?
By 2030
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––By 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$8,215·Daily
What countries will Trump tariff this year?
Colombia
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Denmark
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$201,167·Daily
S&P close price end of 2025?
3,999.99 or below
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––5,800 to 5,999.99
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$39,647,895·Daily
When will Trump end his tariffs against China?
Before Dec 2025
29%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before Jun 2025
18%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$19,861
How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago this month?
3
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––4
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$568,534·Daily
Who will win the Romanian presidential election?
Nicusor Dan
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––George Simion
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,511,660·Daily
Costco raises hot dog combo price?
Before 2028
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before 2027
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$41,568·Daily
Which countries will impose tariffs on the US before Q3 2025?
European Union
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Brazil
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$185,648·Daily
When will Trump end his tariffs against Canada?
Before Jun 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before Dec 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$33,108·Daily
MLS Cup Winner?
Miami
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Los Angeles
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$13,704·Daily
Europa League Champion?
Athletic Bilbao
24%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Manchester United
22%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$142,544
When will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill?
Before June 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before September 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$270,689·Daily
Will stablecoin legislation happen this year?
Before Dec 31, 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before Jun 1, 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$5,092·Daily
US Bird flu (H5N1) cases this year?
Above 50
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 10
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$539,054·Daily
When will Dogecoin hit $1?
Before Jan 1, 2026
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before Sep 1, 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$325,106·Daily
"Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning" Rotten Tomatoes score?
Above 95
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 92
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$18,574·Daily
F1 Bahrain Grand Prix Podium Finishers?
George Russell
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Max Verstappen
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$8,298·Daily
How much compute will AI models be trained with this year?
More than 500 billion petaFLOP
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––More than 750 billion petaFLOP
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$16,744·Daily
Will Chuck Schumer no longer be Senate Minority Leader this year?
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$18,013
"Fight or Flight" Rotten Tomatoes score?
Above 85
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 90
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––NEW
·Daily
Who will win the Senate race in North Carolina?
Democratic party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Republican party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$14,727·Daily
FA Cup Winner?
Manchester City
47%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Aston Villa
26%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$149,901
TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Donald Trump
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Elon Musk
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,781,187·Daily
Roland Garros Women's Tennis Winner?
Iga Swiatek
51%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Aryna Sabalenka
19%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$37,899
"Lilo & Stitch" Rotten Tomatoes score?
Above 75
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 90
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––NEW
·Daily
Who will be the Republican VP nominee in 2028?
Byron Donalds
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Elise Stefanik
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$29,994·Daily
The President's RCP approval rating on Friday?
46.6 to 47.0
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––47.1 to 47.5
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$2,424,153·Daily
Least streamed song on More Chaos on Apr 19, 2025?
Ghoul
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Evolution
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––NEW
·Daily
When will Sean Cairncross be confirmed as National Cyber Director (ONCD)?
Before Jul 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before Jun 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Daily
Who will visit Mar-a-Lago this year?
Sam Altman
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Mohammed bin Salman
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$123,205·Daily
Unemployment in April?
Above 4.2%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 4.3%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,569,523·Daily
US Open Golf Championship Winner?
Scottie Scheffler
15%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Rory McIlroy
10%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$73,027
College Football ACC Championship Winner?
Clemson
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Miami Florida
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$8,425·Daily
Pro Baseball National League Champion?
Los Angeles D
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––New York M
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$72,308·Daily
How many deportations in Trump's first year?
At least 500,000
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––At least 250,000
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$466,589·Daily
The Open Championship Winner?
Rory McIlroy
13%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Jon Rahm
8%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$6,393
What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear before July?
Ocean State Tactical, LLC v. Rhode Island
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––L.M. v. Town of Middleborough
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,217·Daily
Which companies will have a #1 AI model this year?
Anthropic
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Deepseek
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$337,518·Daily
Who will win League Worlds?
T1
26%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Hanwha Life Esports
26%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$11,547
How many bills will Trump veto this year?
At least 1
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––At least 3
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$62,499·Daily
What will Ford say on their next earnings call?
Mustang
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Subsidy
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$5,950·Daily
What will Amazon.com say on their next earnings call?
Content
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Grocery delivery
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$8,881·Daily
Who will go on Joe Rogan this year?
David Sacks
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Bill Ackman
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$175,441·Daily
"Final Destination: Bloodlines" Rotten Tomatoes score?
Above 60
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 65
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$3,344·Daily
How high will XRP get this year?
$3.4 or above
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$3.5 or above
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$8,373·Daily
When will Lynda Blanchard be confirmed as Ambassador to UN Food and Agriculture?
Before Dec 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before Jul 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,965·Daily
What will DOGE claim to have saved this year?
At least $500 billion
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––At least $200 billion
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$15,284·Daily
Rain in NYC this month?
Above 4 inches
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 5 inches
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$847,211·Daily
Tesla production this quarter?
Above 390000
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 430000
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$312,910·Daily
When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
Before 2030
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before 2026
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$184,548·Daily
Who will win the 2025 Irish election?
Bertie Ahern
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Conor McGregor
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$9,596·Daily
Will Trump extend his tax cuts on the highest-earners this year?
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$31,180·Daily
When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?
Before June 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before September 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$386,457·Daily
Will Trump impose tariffs on the EU auto sector in his first 100 days?
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$122,874·Daily
Will Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations during Trump's term?
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$31,949·Daily
Which countries will Trump impose a travel ban on in the first 100 days?
Yemen
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Libya
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$272,225·Daily
Tony for Best Musical Revival?
Gypsy
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Sunset Boulevard
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,624·Daily
How many government employees will Trump and Elon cut in 2025?
More than 250,000
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––More than 500,000
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$805,394·Daily
Which party will win Calgary Centre in the Canadian election?
Conservative Party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Liberal Party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,404·Daily
Top artist on Spotify this year?
Bad Bunny
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Taylor Swift
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$166,696·Daily
How many launches will SpaceX have this year?
Above 180
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 160
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$406,151·Daily
What agencies will have their budgets cut this year?
CFPB
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––SEC
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$75,403·Daily
Least streamed song on Honkeytonk Hollywood on Friday?
Kinda Wanna Keep It That Way
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Who I Don't Wanna Be
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––NEW
·Daily
Who will win the Polish presidential election?
Rafał Trzaskowski
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Karol Nawrocki
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$42,304·Daily
Who will win the Chilean presidential election?
Evelyn Matthei
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Johannes Kaiser
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Daily
How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year?
At least 600
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––At least 625
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$6,722·Daily
Republican nominee for Governor in New Jersey?
Jack Ciattarelli
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Bill Spadea
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$61,452·Daily
When will Kimberly Guilfoyle be confirmed as Ambassador to Greece?
Before Jul 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before Jun 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,027·Daily
How much will Tesla deliveries grow before 2027?
Above 500000 in a single quarter
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 750000 in a single quarter
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,401·Daily
Which party will win Port Moody—Coquitlam in the Canadian election?
Liberal Party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Conservative Party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,289·Daily
What will the price of GTA VI be?
More than $80
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––More than $90
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$18,704·Daily
Which party will win Vancouver East in the Canadian election?
New Democratic Party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Liberal Party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Daily
SpaceX Starship 9th launch?
Before May 8
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before May 15
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,832,673·Daily
When will a budget reconciliation bill become law?
Before July 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before September 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$40,878·Daily
Who will win the House, Senate, and Presidency?
Democrat Sweep
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––D-House, R-Senate, D-President
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$28,457,763·Daily
Number of emergency rate cuts this year?
0 cuts
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––4 cuts
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$78,045·Daily
Who will win the Mayor election in Omaha?
Jean Stothert
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––John Ewing
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$14,105·Daily
Will delays in social security payments be reported this year?
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$9,814·Daily
American Country Music Award for New Female Artist of the Year?
Ella Langley
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Dasha
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––NEW
·Daily
Which AI company will have the best coding model on Jun 1, 2025?
OpenAI
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Google
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$20,123·Daily
When will Tesla launch unsupervised full self-driving to the public?
Before 2026
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before July
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$54,725·Daily
American Country Music Award for Song of the Year?
you look like you love me
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––4x4xU
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––NEW
·Daily
Game of the Year?
Grand Theft Auto VI
39%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Death Stranding 2: On The Beach
19%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,206,009
