Markets
Trending
Biggest movers
New
Closing
Cadence
What will Trump say in his speech about the State of the Union on March 4th?
Greenland
54%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Drill Baby Drill
56%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$2,096,200
Which Senators will vote for Kash Patel?
Mitch McConnell
19%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Lisa Murkowski
88%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,811,965
4 Nations Face-Off Winner?
United States
56%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Canada
44%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$138,741
"The Monkey" Rotten Tomatoes score?
Above 80
56%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 85
20%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$289,027
Top US Netflix show this week?
Love is Blind: Season 8
60%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Surviving Black Hawk Down: Limited Series
32%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$398,634·Weekly
4h 34m 27s
Snow in NYC this month?
Above 8.0 inches
20%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 10.0 inches
10%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,612,125
Top US iPhone app tomorrow?
ChatGPT
92%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––TikTok
10%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,330,266
14h 35m 27s
Oscar for Best Picture?
Anora
66%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Parlay
The Brutalist
18%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Parlay
$3,982,542
How many times will Elon post on X this week?
550 to 599
18%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––500 to 549
17%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$83,246·Weekly
How much government spending will Trump and Elon cut this year?
At least 50 billion
55%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––At least 25 billion
58%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,311,875
Best AI this month?
Gemini
51%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Grok
23%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,630,411
2026 Pro Football Champion?
Philadelphia
13%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Buffalo
11%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$27,185,813
Oscar for Best Actress?
Demi Moore
56%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Parlay
Mikey Madison
37%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Parlay
$789,357
Number of tornadoes this month?
Above 50
37%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 75
6%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,097,220
How many deportations in Trump's first year?
At least 500,000
36%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––At least 750,000
25%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$319,470
Pro Men's Basketball Champion?
Boston
28%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Oklahoma City
29%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,684,213
College Men's Basketball D1 Champion?
Auburn
20%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Duke
18%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,021,483
Who will Trump pardon in his first 100 days?
Steve Bannon
19%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Edward Snowden
17%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$4,310,564
Next government of Germany?
Grand Coalition (CDU/CSU and SPD)
53%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Kenya Coalition (CDU/CSU, SPD, and Greens)
28%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$52,407
How many Cabinet members will Trump get confirmed before March?
15
70%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––16
21%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,304,448
Who will be the Republican nominee in 2028?
J.D. Vance
43%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Tulsi Gabbard
15%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,072,394
Who will win the Romanian presidential election?
Călin Georgescu
55%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Nicusor Dan
22%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$992,019
What will Trump say in his interview with Sean Hannity?
Department of Education
64%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––FEMA
38%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$20,076
Champions League winner?
Liverpool
18%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Real Madrid
16%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$333,378
Will Trump declassify Epstein documents in his first 100 days?
Yes
$100 → $197No
$100 → $186$596,633
How many Senators will vote for Kash Patel as Director of the FBI?
52
82%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––53
11%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$713,532
Masters Tournament Winner?
Scottie Scheffler
18%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Rory McIlroy
11%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$69,782
What share of the vote will the AfD get in the German election?
20% to 24.9%
69%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––15% to 19.9%
17%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$89,921
Highest temperature in NYC tomorrow?
27° to 28°
51%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Parlay
25° to 26°
32%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Parlay
$34,099,632·Daily
Oscar for Best Original Screenplay?
Anora
59%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Parlay
The Substance
23%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Parlay
$238,563
Pro Basketball Eastern Conference Finals Winner?
Boston
48%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Cleveland
24%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$188,832
Who will be the Dem NYC Mayor nominee this year?
Andrew Cuomo
68%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Eric Adams
6%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$322,084
Oscar for Best Actor?
Adrien Brody
75%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Parlay
Timothee Chalamet
22%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Parlay
$797,830
How high will Bitcoin get this year?
$125,000 or above
59%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$150,000 or above
34%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$2,389,956
Highest temperature in Austin tomorrow?
63° to 64°
40%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Parlay
65° to 66°
25%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Parlay
$23,514,856·Daily
Jobs numbers this month?
Above 150,000
55%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 200,000
37%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$2,055,700
What will be the top AI model this month?
Gemini-2.0-Flash-Thinking-Exp-01-21
52%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Gemini-2.0-Pro-Exp-02-05
5%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$374,638
Oscar for Documentary Short Film?
I Am Ready, Warden
53%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Death by Numbers
17%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$28,259
Oscar for Best International Feature Film?
I'm Still Here
53%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Parlay
Emilia Perez
46%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Parlay
$94,478
Who will be the Democratic nominee in 2028?
Gavin Newsom
13%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Josh Shapiro
13%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,090,357
"The Woman in the Yard" Rotten Tomatoes score?
Above 60
51%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 75
26%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$8,129
Pro Basketball Western Conference Finals Winner?
Oklahoma City
48%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Denver
14%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$339,014
SAG Film Award for Best Cast?
Wicked
40%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Anora
33%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$136,502
College Women's Basketball Champion?
South Carolina
21%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––UConn
21%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$14,865
Highest temperature in Denver tomorrow?
21° or below
77%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Parlay
22° to 23°
14%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Parlay
$13,076,382·Daily
Europa League Champion?
Manchester United
18%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Tottenham
16%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$36,875
Oscar for Best Supporting Actor?
Kieran Culkin
88%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Parlay
Guy Pearce
6%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Parlay
$570,035