Men's College Basketball First Round qualifiers?
American
59%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Xavier
58%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$0
Men's College Basketball Second Round qualifiers?
Houston
98%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Auburn
98%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$0
Men's College Basketball Round of 16 qualifiers?
Duke
87%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Florida
84%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$0
Men's College Basketball Round of 8 qualifiers?
Duke
74%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Houston
61%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$0
Men's College Basketball Semifinal qualifiers?
Duke
56%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Florida
53%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$0
Men's College Basketball Final qualifiers?
Duke
38%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Auburn
31%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$0
Men's College Basketball Champion?
Duke
24%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Florida
20%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$0
"Disney's Snow White" Rotten Tomatoes score?
Above 45
50%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 40
88%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$0
Fed funds rate in May?
Above 4.25%
76%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 4.00%
93%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$0
Women's College Basketball First Round qualifiers?
High Point
70%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Iowa State
71%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$0
Women's College Basketball Second Round qualifiers?
Duke
98%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––UConn
98%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$0
Women's College Basketball Round of 16 qualifiers?
South Carolina
99%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––UConn
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$0
Women's College Basketball Round of 8 qualifiers?
South Carolina
93%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––UConn
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$0
Women's College Basketball Semifinal qualifiers?
South Carolina
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––UConn
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$0
Women's College Basketball Final qualifiers?
South Carolina
49%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––UConn
43%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$0
Women's College Basketball Champion?
South Carolina
28%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––UConn
26%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$0
Fed decision in May?
No change
81%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Cut 25bps
20%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$0
Pro Men's Basketball Champion?
Oklahoma City
31%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Boston
28%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$0
Valspar Championship Winner?
Tommy Fleetwood
8%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Sepp Straka
6%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$0
What will Nike say on their Q3 FY2025 earnings call?
Direct-to-consumer / Direct to consumer / DTC / D2C
38%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Athleisure
23%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$0
Pro Basketball Western Conference Finals Winner?
Oklahoma City
55%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Los Angeles L
14%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$0
How much government spending will Trump and Elon cut this year?
At least 1 billion
38%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––At least 25 billion
37%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$0
Who will be the Dem NYC Mayor nominee this year?
Andrew Cuomo
70%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Zohran Mamdani
11%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$0
CPI in March?
Above 0.1%
36%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 0.0%
62%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$0
US Open Men's Tennis Champion?
Jannik Sinner
38%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Carlos Alcaraz
25%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$0
How many times will Elon Musk post on X this week?
400 to 449
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––399 or below
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$0·Weekly
Who will be the Republican nominee in 2028?
J.D. Vance
45%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Tulsi Gabbard
9%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$0
Inflation in March? (CPI YoY)
Above 2.5%
43%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 2.4%
69%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$0
Top US iPhone app on Friday?
ChatGPT
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––NCAA March Madness Live
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$0·Daily
How high will Bitcoin get this year?
$125,000 or above
37%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$150,000 or above
24%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$0
Which party will win the House next year?
Democratic Party
79%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Republican Party
21%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$0
Number of rate cuts in 2025?
2 cuts
24%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––3 cuts
19%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$0
Masters Tournament Winner?
Scottie Scheffler
15%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Rory McIlroy
14%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$0
Who will be the Democratic nominee in 2028?
Gavin Newsom
17%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Josh Shapiro
12%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$0
What will FedEx say on their next earnings call?
Labor
40%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Global trade
56%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$0
How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago this month?
4
76%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––3
23%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$0
Will DOGE and Elon Musk claim there's missing gold at Fort Knox before May?
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$0
Champions League Winner?
Barcelona
24%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Real Madrid
21%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$0
TSA avg check-ins from Mar 17 to 23, 2025?
Above 2.6 million
30%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 2.55 million
73%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$0·Weekly
Which party will win the most seats in the 2025 Canadian House of Commons Election?
Liberal party
55%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Conservative party
46%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$0
Who will Trump pardon in his first 100 days?
Steve Bannon
8%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Roger Ver
6%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$0
Who will win the Romanian presidential election?
Nicusor Dan
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––George Simion
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$0
Pro Baseball Champion?
Los Angeles D
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––New York M
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$0
When will Dogecoin hit $1?
Before Jan 1, 2026
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before Sep 1, 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$0
Number of tornadoes this month?
Above 250
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 300
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$0
How much will the government increase spending this year?
At least $100 billion
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––At least $1 billion
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$0
Next government of Canada?
Liberal majority
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Liberal minority
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$0
US GDP growth in Q1 2025?
Above 1.0%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 0.5%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$0
The President's RCP approval rating on Friday?
47.1 to 47.5
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––47.6 to 48.0
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$0·Weekly
Who will be the Portuguese Prime Minister after their election?
Luís Montenegro
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Pedro Nuno Santos
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$0
Who will be the Canadian Prime Minister after the next election?
Liberal Party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Conservative Party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$0
Which countries will Trump impose a travel ban on in the first 100 days?
Haiti
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Syria
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$0
Highest temperature in Miami tomorrow?
84° to 85°
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––86° to 87°
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$0·Daily
Who will join the Trump Administration?
Kari Lake
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Corey Lewandowski
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$0
What countries will Trump visit in the first year?
Japan
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––France
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$0
Tesla deliveries this quarter?
340000 or more
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––350000 or more
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$0
Gas prices in the US this month?
Above 3.10
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 3.15
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$0
When will a budget reconciliation bill become law?
Before September 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before December 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$0
How much will the Fed’s balance sheet shrink before 2026?
6.5 trillion
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––6 trillion
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$0
Measles cases this year?
Above 2000
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 3000
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$0
Who will win the Ecuadorian Election?
Luisa González
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Daniel Noboa
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$0
"A Minecraft Movie" Rotten Tomatoes score?
Above 45
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 50
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$0
US semiconductor production growth this year?
Above 10%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 7%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$0
F1 Drivers Champion?
Lando Norris
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Max Verstappen
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$0
What will be the top AI model this month?
Grok-3-Preview-02-24
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––GPT-4.5-Preview
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$0
How many government employees will Trump and Elon cut in 2025?
More than 250,000
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––More than 500,000
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$0
S&P close price end of 2025?
6,400 to 6,599.99
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––6,200 to 6,399.99
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$0
"Warfare" Rotten Tomatoes score?
Above 80
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 85
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$0
Harvard application numbers this year?
Below 48,608
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Below 51,308
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$0
What states will Trump sue over their trans sports policies?
Maine
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Minnesota
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$0
GTA 6 release date?
Before 2026
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before July 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$0
Highest temperature in LA tomorrow?
68° to 69°
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––66° to 67°
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$0·Daily
Highest temperature in Chicago tomorrow?
44° to 45°
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––42° to 43°
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$0·Daily
How many seats will the Conservatives win in the Canadian election?
120 to 139
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––150 to 159
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$0
How low will Bitcoin get this year?
Below $60,000
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Below $70,000
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$0
Highest temperature in Denver tomorrow?
57° to 58°
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––59° to 60°
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$0·Daily
"The Woman in the Yard" Rotten Tomatoes score?
Above 55
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 45
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$0
Pro Baseball American League Champion?
New York Y
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Baltimore
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$0
Will Elon Musk leave the DOGE?
Before the end of DOGE
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before 2026
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$0
