How many Trump Cabinet members will leave in the first year?
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
.
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
▼ 00
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
.
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
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2025
% Chance
$2,442vol
1
26%
1
26%
2
21%
-5
2
21%
-5
3
18%
3
18%
Rules summary for
2
If 2 members of Trump's first confirmed Cabinet members have left or announced they will leave their positions before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from White House.
For purposes of this Contract, the Cabinet includes the heads of the 15 government agencies in the Cabinet as of Issuance, as well the Administrator of the EPA, the President’s Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP. Note: this event is mutually exclusive.Timeline and payout
How many Trump Cabinet members will leave in the first year?
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