Who will be Trump’s FDA Commissioner?
Marty Makary 96%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 2%
Balaji Srinivasan 1%
Live bets: Kalshi.com
1D
1W
1M
ALL
By Dec 31, 2026
Chance
$534,633vol
Marty Makary
96%
▼ 1
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
<1%
Balaji Srinivasan
<1%
David Friedberg
<1%
Important information: Nominees must be confirmed by the United States Senate (recess appointments do not count).
Rules summary for
Marty Makary
If Marty Makary is the first person confirmed by the Senate to be FDA Administrator between November 8, 2024 and December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Library of Congress.
Note: this event is mutually exclusive.Timeline and payout
About
The Food and Drug Administration (FDA) protects public health by ensuring the safety, efficacy, and security of drugs, medical devices, biological products, food, cosmetics, and products emitting radiation. It also regulates tobacco products, advances medical innovation, and supports counterterrorism efforts by safeguarding the food supply and promoting medical solutions for public health threats. President-elect Trump has nominated Marty Makary for this role, but he has yet to be confirmed by the Senate. (Source: FDA.gov)
Show more
Who will be Trump’s FDA Commissioner?
Buy Yes · Marty MakaryBuy
Sell
Dollars
Pick a side