How long will the next government shutdown be before July 2?
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
.
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
d
a
y
(
s
)
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Before July 2, 2025
% Chance
$541,467vol
Above 0 days
13%
-26
Above 7 days
9%
-10
Above 14 days
13%
3 more markets
Rules summary for
Above 0 days
If the government is shut down for more than 0 days before July 2, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from U.S. Office of Personnel Management.
Days will be counted by checking the source agency at 10:00 AM ET. PLEASE NOTE: If there are multiple government shutdowns during the relevant period, this market only applies to the first shutdown, as the market will resolve after the end of the first shutdown. Timeline and payout
About
Will a government shutdown occur in 2024? People are closely monitoring the political landscape, as a divided government and partisan gridlock could lead to a prolonged shutdown. Shutdowns tend to last longer when both parties are unwilling to compromise on spending priorities or when major policy disagreements are at stake.
Show more
How long will the next government shutdown be before July 2?
Buy Yes · Above 0 daysBuy
Sell
Dollars
Pick a side