US Bird flu (H5N1) cases this year?
9
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2
1
0
9
8
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5
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1
0
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9
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0
▼ 00
9
8
7
6
5
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2
1
0
9
8
7
6
5
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2
1
0
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
2025
Chance
$545,570vol
Above 10
74%
Above 50
44%
Above 100
20%
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Rules summary for
Above 50
If the number of H5N1 cases in the United States in 2025 is above 50, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from CDC.
Timeline and payout
About
The H5N1 avian influenza virus has been a global concern, especially in recent years. In 2020, highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) H5N1 was first identified in Europe and spread to Africa, the Middle East, and Asia. The virus has caused major outbreaks in poultry, with the U.S. experiencing its worst bird flu outbreak, resulting in the deaths of approximately 52.7 million birds across 46 states since February 2022. H5N1 has also been detected in other animals, such as dairy cows and alpacas, and has caused rare but severe human infections.
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US Bird flu (H5N1) cases this year?
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