Miami vs Atlanta
ATL50¢
$100 → $193MIA51¢
$100 → $189News · The NBA acknowledged four blown calls in the final minutes of the Warriors' 121-116 play-in win over the Grizzlies, with two mistakes benefiting each side, Yahoo! Sports reports. The most controversial was a late foul on Brandin Podziemski that replays contradicted, fueling criticism of the officiating throughout the game.
$2,434,381
Who will be the Canadian Prime Minister after the next election?
Liberal Party
79%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––
Conservative Party
21%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––News · With 10 days until polls close, Canada's snap election has narrowed into a two-man showdown between Liberal PM Mark Carney and Conservative Pierre Poilievre—each vowing to stand up to President Trump, Politico reports. Once expected to be a Conservative landslide, the race has shifted amid U.S.-Canada trade tensions, annexation rhetoric, and Carney's sharp break from Trudeau-era policies.
$2,174,624
Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?
Howard Lutnick
29%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Scott Bessent
16%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––News · Former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers said Scott Bessent should resign rather than comply with President Trump's directive to revoke Harvard's tax-exempt status, The Hill reports. Summers warned the move echoes Nixon-era abuses and represents a dangerous politicization of the IRS with long-term consequences for democracy and revenue.
$195,619
Who will be the Democratic nominee in 2028?
Gavin Newsom
16%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––
Josh Shapiro
11%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––News · Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez raised $9.6 million in the first quarter of 2025—more than doubling her previous best and fueling speculation about a potential Senate bid, NYT reports. Her campaign credits the surge to grassroots support, with 64% of donors giving for the first time and an average contribution of just $21.
$3,339,044
Powell out as Chair this year?
Yes
$100 → $412No
$100 → $126News · President Trump said he could swiftly remove Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell if he chose to, calling him 'too late' on rate cuts and accusing him of 'playing politics,' The Hill reports. The remarks challenge Powell's legal protections and risk deepening tensions with financial markets already shaken by Trump's tariff-driven economic policies.
$148,030
When will Trump end his tariffs against China?
Before Dec 2025
48%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before Jun 2025
26%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––News · Despite raising tariffs on Chinese imports to a record 245%, President Trump said there's 'no rush' and vowed the U.S. 'will have a deal with China,' The Street reports. Beijing has responded with its own tariff hikes and stalled negotiations, deepening the economic standoff.
$29,180
Will Google be forced to break up?
Yes
$100 → $167No
$100 → $218News · A federal judge ruled Thursday that Google illegally used its dominance in digital advertising by linking its ad server with its ad exchange, WSJ reports. The court will now begin weighing possible remedies to address the tech giant's monopoly power.
$143,875
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PGA RBC HeritageRBC Heritage Winner?
Scottie Scheffler
43%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Justin Thomas
29%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––ROUND 2
·$8,055,483
Will Trump declassify Epstein documents in his first 100 days?
Yes
$100 → $880No
$100 → $108$3,377,911
"Sinners" Rotten Tomatoes score?
Above 96
64%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 95
83%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$493,988
Best AI this month?
Gemini
69%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––ChatGPT
28%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$4,955,445
Pro Men's Basketball Champion?
Oklahoma City
32%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Boston
31%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$6,554,863
Gas prices in the US this month?
Above 3.15
44%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 3.10
82%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$3,099,275
How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago this month?
2
88%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––3
35%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$599,407
What will Powell say during his May FOMC press conference?
Consumer confidence
54%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Median
39%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$699,503
When will Bitcoin hit $150k?
Before 2026
18%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before October
16%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$810,071
GTA 6 release date?
Before December 2025
59%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before November 2025
31%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$227,098
Number of tornadoes this month?
Above 300
49%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 250
69%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,491,477
Will Elon Musk leave the DOGE?
Before Jun 16, 2025
43%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before Jan 1, 2026
83%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$922,905
Inflation in April? (CPI YoY)
Above 2.3%
57%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 2.4%
27%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$7,187,662
What will the U.S. tariff rate on China be on Apr 30, 2025?
100% to 149.99%
76%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––75% to 99.99%
9%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$21,279
Fed decision in May?
No change
85%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Cut 25bps
10%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$31,028,831
Jobs numbers this month?
Above 150,000
60%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 200,000
31%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$3,357,068
Rain in NYC this month?
Above 4 inches
52%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 3 inches
96%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$863,291
When will Trump end his tariffs against Canada?
Before Dec 2025
49%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before Jun 2025
41%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$44,875
"The Accountant 2" Rotten Tomatoes score?
Above 75
56%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 70
75%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$116,612
What will be the top AI model this month?
Gemini-2.5-Pro-Exp-03-25
67%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––ChatGPT-4o-latest (2025-03-26)
2%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,048,668
How many Gold Cards will Trump sell this year?
1 to 100
17%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––0
18%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$161,259
When will Tesla launch unsupervised full self-driving to the public?
Before 2026
60%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before July
38%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$73,308
What countries will Trump visit in the first year?
South Korea
52%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––France
47%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$656,796