Will a Chinese AI model reach #1 this year?
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Before 2026
$7,473vol
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Rules summary
If a Chinese LLM is ranked as the top-ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from LMSYS.
The model must be top-ranked, alone, on the Rank (UB) metric (unless multiple Chinese models are #1) to resolve the market to Yes. Timeline and payout
Will a Chinese AI model reach #1 this year?
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