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Which party will win the most seats in the 2025 Canadian House of Commons Election?

Conservative party 55%
Liberal party 44%
Green party 1%
Live bets: Kalshi.com
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1D
1W
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ALL

The 2025 Election
Chance
$60,063vol

Conservative party
55%
▼ 2

Liberal party
44%
▲ 2

Green party
<1%

3 more markets

Rules summary for
Conservative party
If the Conservative party wins the most seats in the Canadian House of Commons after the 2025 election, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from CBC.
This market is strictly about the House of Commons outcome. If the top two parties win the same number of seats, all will resolve to No. Note: this event is mutually exclusive.

Timeline and payout

Trading prohibitions
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Which party will win the most seats in the 2025 Canadian House of Commons Election?
Buy Yes · Conservative party
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Average price
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Payout if Yes wins
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