Next Fed rate hike?

Before 2026 17%

Live bets: Kalshi.com

ALL

Fed rate hike

% Chance

$322,016vol

Before 2026

17%

-1

Before 2026

17%

-1

Before 2025

Rules summary for

Before 2026

If the Federal Reserve hikes again by Dec 31, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Federal Reserve.

Timeline and payout

About

The Federal Reserve has maintained interest rates steady, with the target range for the federal funds rate remaining at 5.25% to 5.50% following the June meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). This decision comes as inflation has fallen from its peak but remains elevated, with the Fed expecting inflation to decline further in 2025, potentially allowing for rate cuts. The Fed's stance is described as "patient," with the potential for one to two rate cuts of 25 basis points each in the federal funds rate in 2024.

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