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Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first year?

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ALL

2025
$708,859vol

Order book


Rules summary
If Trump becomes President and the U.S. average weighted tariff is at least 6% by Q4 2025, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from FRED.

Timeline and payout

Series Image
Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first year?
Buy Yes
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Pick a side
Contracts0
Average price
81¢
Payout if Yes wins
$0