Who will win the Senate race in Kentucky?

Live bets: Kalshi.com

ALL

2026

Chance

Republican party

Current incumbent: Mitch McConnell

Republican party

Current incumbent: Mitch McConnell

Democratic party

Rules summary for

Republican party

If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Kentucky for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from United States Congress.

Note: this event is mutually exclusive.

Timeline and payout

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