Who will win the Senate race in North Carolina?

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2026

% Chance

Democratic party

52%

Democratic party

52%

Republican party

Current incumbent: Thom Tillis

48%

Republican party

Current incumbent: Thom Tillis

48%

Rules summary for

Democratic party

If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of North Carolina for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from United States Congress.

Note: this event is mutually exclusive.

Timeline and payout

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