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Who will win the Senate race in South Carolina?

DecJanFebMarMay0%25%50%75%100%Republican party88%Democratic party12%
1D
1W
1M
ALL

2026
Chance
$5,715vol

Republican party
Current incumbent: Lindsay Graham
88%

Democratic party
12%

Rules summary for
Republican party
If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of South Carolina for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from United States Congress.
Note: this event is mutually exclusive.

Timeline and payout

Trading prohibitions
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Who will win the Senate race in South Carolina?
Buy Yes · Republican partyCurrent incumbent: Lindsay Graham
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Payout if Yes wins
$0