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Economics
Companies
Financials
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Best AI this month?
Best AI this month?
Gemini
69%
Yes
/
No
ChatGPT
28%
Yes
/
No
$4,955,686
Runner-up US iPhone app tomorrow?
Runner-up US iPhone app tomorrow?
DHgate-Online Wholesale Stores
85%
Yes
/
No
Threads
18%
Yes
/
No
$324,892·Daily
19h 11m 47s
Tesla robotaxi public release this year?
Tesla robotaxi public release this year?
60%
Yes
$100 → $164
No
$100 → $213
$144,623
Tesla production this quarter?
Tesla production this quarter?
Above 390000
72%
Yes
/
No
Above 430000
31%
Yes
/
No
$315,385
What will Uber say on their next earnings call?
What will Uber say on their next earnings call?
Freight
40%
Yes
/
No
Waymo
82%
Yes
/
No
$5,030
What will TSLA say on their next earnings call?
What will TSLA say on their next earnings call?
Roadster
54%
Yes
/
No
Gigafactory
56%
Yes
/
No
$6,347
Tesla deliveries this quarter?
Tesla deliveries this quarter?
375000 or more
55%
Yes
/
No
350000 or more
79%
Yes
/
No
$851,772
What will AMD say on their next earnings call?
What will AMD say on their next earnings call?
Custom silicon
Yes
/
No
Automotive / Automobile
55%
Yes
/
No
$2,393
Tech layoffs up in March 2025?
Tech layoffs up in March 2025?
36%
Yes
$100 → $258
No
$100 → $138
$158,869
What will Apple say on their next earnings call?
What will Apple say on their next earnings call?
Satellite
41%
Yes
/
No
Share repurchase / Share buy-back / Share Buyback
50%
Yes
/
No
$10,630
What will Amazon say on their next earnings call?
What will Amazon say on their next earnings call?
Content
49%
Yes
/
No
Grocery delivery
61%
Yes
/
No
$10,555
What will Alphabet say on their next earnings call?
What will Alphabet say on their next earnings call?
Quantum
48%
Yes
/
No
Google Maps
36%
Yes
/
No
$4,480
How much will Tesla's energy business grow before 2027?
How much will Tesla's energy business grow before 2027?
Above 20 GWh of energy deployed in a single quarter
Yes
/
No
Above 15 GWh of energy deployed in a single quarter
71%
Yes
/
No
SpaceX Starship 9th launch?
SpaceX Starship 9th launch?
Before May 8
48%
Yes
/
No
Before May 15
73%
Yes
/
No
$1,840,794
Will Trump cut corporate taxes this year?
Will Trump cut corporate taxes this year?
35%
Yes
$100 → $252
No
$100 → $148
$175,661
Wealthiest person in the world this year?
Wealthiest person in the world this year?
Elon Musk
77%
Yes
/
No
Jeff Bezos
14%
Yes
/
No
$372,395
How many launches will SpaceX have this year?
How many launches will SpaceX have this year?
Above 180
38%
Yes
/
No
Above 160
83%
Yes
/
No
$406,418
What will AMC say on their next earnings call?
What will AMC say on their next earnings call?
Theater attendance
50%
Yes
/
No
Box office recovery
49%
Yes
/
No
Meta daily active users in Q1 2025?
Meta daily active users in Q1 2025?
Above 3.4 billion
34%
Yes
/
No
Above 3.35 billion
92%
Yes
/
No
$68,050
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO this year?
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO this year?
13%
Yes
$100 → $540
No
$100 → $114
$58,791
When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
Before 2030
62%
Yes
/
No
Before 2026
12%
Yes
/
No
$186,946
Will OpenAI stop being a non-profit?
Will OpenAI stop being a non-profit?
47%
Yes
$100 → $181
No
$100 → $180
$89,037
What will Ford say on their next earnings call?
What will Ford say on their next earnings call?
Mustang
65%
Yes
/
No
Subsidy
32%
Yes
/
No
$6,235
Sundar Pichai leaves Google this year?
Sundar Pichai leaves Google this year?
11%
Yes
$100 → $522
No
$100 → $110
$81,548
Tesla Roadsters delivered this year?
Tesla Roadsters delivered this year?
12%
Yes
$100 → $640
No
$100 → $108
$9,926
Linda Yaccarino leaves X this year?
Linda Yaccarino leaves X this year?
30%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$53,835
X re-launches Vine this year?
X re-launches Vine this year?
26%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$28,785
Tesla Optimus on sale before 2027?
Tesla Optimus on sale before 2027?
54%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$34,047
How much will Tesla deliveries grow before 2027?
How much will Tesla deliveries grow before 2027?
Above 500000 in a single quarter
32%
Yes
/
No
Above 750000 in a single quarter
Yes
/
No
$1,401
Elon Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?
Elon Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?
31%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$128,920
What companies will announce hiring freezes on software engineers this year?
What companies will announce hiring freezes on software engineers this year?
Tesla
23%
Yes
/
No
Google
22%
Yes
/
No
NYC subway ridership levels before 2026?
NYC subway ridership levels before 2026?
3.95 Million
60%
Yes
/
No
4.19 Million
12%
Yes
/
No
$23,330
Starship launches humans to Mars before 2030?
Starship launches humans to Mars before 2030?
20%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$14,975
Spotify subscribers in Q1 2025?
Spotify subscribers in Q1 2025?
Above 265 million
91%
Yes
/
No
Above 275 million
11%
Yes
/
No
$36,675
SoFi new members in Q1 2025?
SoFi new members in Q1 2025?
Above 725000
87%
Yes
/
No
Above 700000
93%
Yes
/
No
$31,469
Robinhood Gold subscribers in Q1 2025?
Robinhood Gold subscribers in Q1 2025?
Above 3.2 million
38%
Yes
/
No
Above 3.4 million
11%
Yes
/
No
$74,474
PS6 announced before 2027?
PS6 announced before 2027?
51%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$72,355
NYT new subscribers in Q1 2025?
NYT new subscribers in Q1 2025?
Above 300000
44%
Yes
/
No
Above 275000
65%
Yes
/
No
$34,468
NPR CEO leaves this year?
NPR CEO leaves this year?
31%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$20,315
Non-compete ban overturned?
Non-compete ban overturned?
21%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$7,533
Federal minimum wage raised this year?
Federal minimum wage raised this year?
7%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$41,666
Courts consider Live Nation a monopoly?
Courts consider Live Nation a monopoly?
69%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$4,345
More tech layoffs this year than in 2024?
More tech layoffs this year than in 2024?
72%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$39,294
Who will replace Jamie Dimon as JPMorgan CEO?
Who will replace Jamie Dimon as JPMorgan CEO?
Marianne Lake
29%
Yes
/
No
Doug Petno
28%
Yes
/
No
$5,314
Jamie Dimon leaves JPMorgan Chase?
Jamie Dimon leaves JPMorgan Chase?
Before 2026
14%
Yes
/
No
$40,264
Will India ban X this year?
Will India ban X this year?
13%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
ChatGPT-5 revealed this year?
ChatGPT-5 revealed this year?
92%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$367,056
Ryan Cohen leaves Gamestop this year?
Ryan Cohen leaves Gamestop this year?
16%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$9,658
Will Trump try and impose export tariffs?
Will Trump try and impose export tariffs?
14%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$5,797
EV market share in 2030?
EV market share in 2030?
Above 50%
Yes
/
No
Above 30%
Yes
/
No
$3,365·Daily
What will Palantir Technologies say on their Next earnings call?
What will Palantir Technologies say on their Next earnings call?
Civil liberties
Yes
/
No
Apollo
Yes
/
No
$3,201·Daily
What will NVIDIA say on their next earnings call?
What will NVIDIA say on their next earnings call?
H100
Yes
/
No
DGX Cloud
Yes
/
No
$80,992·Daily
What will Microsoft say on their next earnings call?
What will Microsoft say on their next earnings call?
Activision-Blizzard / Activision Blizzard
Yes
/
No
Enterprise AI
Yes
/
No
$12,323·Daily
What will META say on their next earnings call?
What will META say on their next earnings call?
TikTok
Yes
/
No
VR / Virtual reality
Yes
/
No
$1,648·Daily
What will Lucid Group say on their next earnings call?
What will Lucid Group say on their next earnings call?
OTA / Over-the-air
Yes
/
No
Tesla
Yes
/
No
$2,117·Daily
What will Walt Disney Company say on their next earnings call?
What will Walt Disney Company say on their next earnings call?
Attendance
Yes
/
No
Box office
Yes
/
No
$1,722·Daily
What will Coinbase Global say on their next earnings call?
What will Coinbase Global say on their next earnings call?
Web3
Yes
/
No
Decentralized Exchange / DEX
Yes
/
No
$2,018·Daily
What will Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. say on their next earnings call?
What will Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. say on their next earnings call?
Southeast Asia / SEA
Yes
/
No
International e-commerce
Yes
/
No
$1,651·Daily
Bob Iger leaves Disney this year?
Bob Iger leaves Disney this year?
19%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$47,861·Daily
Will Dana White leave the board of Meta this year?
Will Dana White leave the board of Meta this year?
14%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
Daily
Will the CEO of Y Combinator leave this year?
Will the CEO of Y Combinator leave this year?
17%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
Daily
Will the CEO of US Steel leave this year?
Will the CEO of US Steel leave this year?
27%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
NEW
·Daily
Will the CEO of Twitch leave this year?
Will the CEO of Twitch leave this year?
16%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
Daily
Will the CEO of Target leave this year?
Will the CEO of Target leave this year?
64%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$5,260·Daily
Will the CEO of Pfizer leave this year?
Will the CEO of Pfizer leave this year?
23%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
Daily
Will the CEO of Moderna leave this year?
Will the CEO of Moderna leave this year?
20%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
Daily
Will the CEO of Goldman Sachs leave this year?
Will the CEO of Goldman Sachs leave this year?
13%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
Daily
Will the CEO of Amazon leave this year?
Will the CEO of Amazon leave this year?
15%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
Daily
Coinbase volume in Q1 2025?
Coinbase volume in Q1 2025?
Above 400 billion
Yes
/
No
Above 380 billion
Yes
/
No
$526,477·Daily
Courts consider Apple a monopoly?
Courts consider Apple a monopoly?
55%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$19,775·Daily
Apple reveals portless iPhone this year?
Apple reveals portless iPhone this year?
15%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$7,262·Daily
When will Apple announce foldable iPhone?
When will Apple announce foldable iPhone?
Before 2027
Yes
/
No
Before 2026
Yes
/
No
$38,687·Daily
Adam Aron leaves AMC this year?
Adam Aron leaves AMC this year?
22%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$3,881·Daily
Will Sam Altman be granted an equity stake in OpenAI this year?
Will Sam Altman be granted an equity stake in OpenAI this year?
41%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$17,763·Daily
Tim Cook leaves Apple this year?
Tim Cook leaves Apple this year?
8%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$33,635·Daily
Top US iPhone app tomorrow?
Top US iPhone app tomorrow?
ChatGPT
Yes
/
No
DHgate-Online Wholesale Stores
Yes
/
No
$3,419,607·Daily
19h 11m 47s
Adam Neumann returns as WeWork CEO this year?
Adam Neumann returns as WeWork CEO this year?
14%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
$27,977·Daily
Will Southwest reverse their new bag policy before June?
Will Southwest reverse their new bag policy before June?
3%
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
Daily
New Microsoft CEO this year?
New Microsoft CEO this year?
Brad Smith
Yes
/
No
Scott Guthrie
Yes
/
No
$1,174·Daily
ISM Manufacturing PMI this month?
ISM Manufacturing PMI this month?
At least 53
Yes
/
No
At least 49
Yes
/
No
$7,253·Daily
Will the CEO of Meta leave this year?
Will the CEO of Meta leave this year?
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
Daily
Will the CEO of Intel leave this year?
Will the CEO of Intel leave this year?
Yes
$100 → $––
No
$100 → $––
Daily