Kalshi - Prediction Market for Trading Event Contracts

Coinbase volume in Q4 2024?

Above 450 billion

34%

Yes

/

No

Yes

$100 → $––

No

$100 → $––

Above 440 billion

81%

Yes

/

No

Yes

$100 → $––

No

$100 → $––

$289,156

Tesla robotaxi public release this year?

72%

Yes

$100 → $138

No

$100 → $183

$79,090

Tesla deliveries this quarter?

450000 or more

33%

Yes

/

No

Yes

$100 → $––

No

$100 → $––

470000 or more

22%

Yes

/

No

Yes

$100 → $––

No

$100 → $––

$485,321

NYT new subscribers in Q4 2024?

Above 400,000

33%

Yes

/

No

Yes

$100 → $––

No

$100 → $––

Above 300,000

68%

Yes

/

No

Yes

$100 → $––

No

$100 → $––

$21,400

SpaceX Starship 8th launch?

Before March 15

60%

Yes

/

No

Yes

$100 → $––

No

$100 → $––

Before March 1

23%

Yes

/

No

Yes

$100 → $––

No

$100 → $––

$1,166,041

How many launches will SpaceX have this year?

Above 180

35%

Yes

/

No

Yes

$100 → $––

No

$100 → $––

Above 160

68%

Yes

/

No

Yes

$100 → $––

No

$100 → $––

$375,966

Best AI at the end of 2025?

Gemini

28%

Yes

/

No

Yes

$100 → $––

No

$100 → $––

ChatGPT

32%

Yes

/

No

Yes

$100 → $––

No

$100 → $––

$1,416,837

NPR CEO leaves this year?

28%

Yes

$100 → $266

No

$100 → $136

$19,043

Will Trump cut corporate taxes this year?

54%

Yes

$100 → $163

No

$100 → $206

$62,260

Tesla production this quarter?

Above 430000

47%

Yes

/

No

Yes

$100 → $––

No

$100 → $––

Above 450000

25%

Yes

/

No

Yes

$100 → $––

No

$100 → $––

$266,064

Tech layoffs up in December 2024?

20%

Yes

$100 → $431

No

$100 → $119

$130,519

Tesla Optimus on sale before 2027?

29%

Yes

$100 → $142

No

$100 → $136

$16,501

X re-launches Vine this year?

39%

Yes

$100 → $240

No

$100 → $138

$24,803

Wealthiest person in the world this year?

Elon Musk

83%

Yes

/

No

Yes

$100 → $––

No

$100 → $––

Mark Zuckerberg

5%

Yes

/

No

Yes

$100 → $––

No

$100 → $––

$328,290

When will OpenAI achieve AGI?

Before 2030

53%

Yes

/

No

Yes

$100 → $––

No

$100 → $––

Before 2026

22%

Yes

/

No

Yes

$100 → $––

No

$100 → $––

$147,734

PS6 announced this year?

16%

Yes

$100 → $567

No

$100 → $109

$65,082

ChatGPT-5 revealed this year?

75%

Yes

$100 → $131

No

$100 → $290

$340,740

Jamie Dimon leaves JPMorgan Chase?

Before 2026

31%

Yes

/

No

Yes

$100 → $––

No

$100 → $––

$33,002

Tech layoffs up in 2024?

86%

Yes

$100 → $113

No

$100 → $559

$25,107

New Spirit CEO this year?

71%

Yes

$100 → $140

No

$100 → $259

$21,020

Will Dana White leave the board of Meta this year?

19%

Yes

$100 → $473

No

$100 → $109

Will OpenAI stop being a non-profit?

85%

Yes

$100 → $––

No

$100 → $––

$79,341

Apple reveals portless iPhone this year?

16%

Yes

$100 → $––

No

$100 → $––

$3,539

When will Apple announce foldable iPhone?

Before 2027

67%

Yes

/

No

Yes

$100 → $––

No

$100 → $––

Before 2026

24%

Yes

/

No

Yes

$100 → $––

No

$100 → $––

$32,904

Linda Yaccarino leaves X this year?

23%

Yes

$100 → $––

No

$100 → $––

$50,696

Tesla Roadsters delivered this year?

21%

Yes

$100 → $––

No

$100 → $––

$9,420

Elon Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?

29%

Yes

$100 → $––

No

$100 → $––

$103,693

Starship launches humans to Mars before 2030?

22%

Yes

$100 → $––

No

$100 → $––

$8,997

Will Joe Rogan join the board of a public company this year?

31%

Yes

$100 → $––

No

$100 → $––

Robinhood Gold subscribers in Q4 2024?

Above 2.4 million

84%

Yes

/

No

Yes

$100 → $––

No

$100 → $––

Above 2.2 million

89%

Yes

/

No

Yes

$100 → $––

No

$100 → $––

$58,672

Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO this year?

18%

Yes

$100 → $––

No

$100 → $––

$35,076

Non-compete ban overturned?

90%

Yes

$100 → $––

No

$100 → $––

$6,145

Will Elon Musk win an injunction against OpenAI this year?

14%

Yes

$100 → $––

No

$100 → $––

$1,596

Federal minimum wage raised this year?

17%

Yes

$100 → $––

No

$100 → $––

$36,835

Courts consider Live Nation a monopoly?

68%

Yes

$100 → $––

No

$100 → $––

$3,294

Who will replace Jamie Dimon as JPMorgan CEO?

Doug Petno

31%

Yes

/

No

Yes

$100 → $––

No

$100 → $––

Troy Rohrbaugh

19%

Yes

/

No

Yes

$100 → $––

No

$100 → $––

$1,275

Will India ban X this year?

29%

Yes

$100 → $––

No

$100 → $––

Sundar Pichai leaves Google this year?

20%

Yes

$100 → $––

No

$100 → $––

$78,040

Ryan Cohen leaves Gamestop this year?

22%

Yes

$100 → $––

No

$100 → $––

$7,177

EV market share in 2030?

Above 50%

47%

Yes

/

No

Yes

$100 → $––

No

$100 → $––

Above 30%

65%

Yes

/

No

Yes

$100 → $––

No

$100 → $––

$3,054

Bob Iger leaves Disney this year?

29%

Yes

$100 → $––

No

$100 → $––

$47,096

Will the CEO of Y Combinator leave this year?

31%

Yes

$100 → $––

No

$100 → $––

Will the CEO of Twitch leave this year?

28%

Yes

$100 → $––

No

$100 → $––

Will the CEO of Target leave this year?

53%

Yes

$100 → $––

No

$100 → $––

$1,782

Will the CEO of Amazon leave this year?

15%

Yes

$100 → $––

No

$100 → $––

Courts consider Apple a monopoly?

31%

Yes

$100 → $––

No

$100 → $––

$10,639

Adam Aron leaves AMC this year?

17%

Yes

$100 → $––

No

$100 → $––

$3,625

Will Sam Altman be granted an equity stake in OpenAI this year?

65%

Yes

$100 → $––

No

$100 → $––

$14,248

Tim Cook leaves Apple this year?

13%

Yes

$100 → $––

No

$100 → $––

$31,918

Top US iPhone app tomorrow?

DeepSeek - AI Assistant

97%

Yes

/

No

Yes

$100 → $––

No

$100 → $––

ChatGPT

3%

Yes

/

No

Yes

$100 → $––

No

$100 → $––

$387,183

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