What will Powell say during his March 2025 press conference?
Good Afternoon
Yes
QT / Quantitative Tightening
Yes
News · The Federal Reserve kept interest rates steady at 4.25%-4.5% but reaffirmed expectations for two cuts later this year, CNBC reports. Fed Chair Jerome Powell cited economic uncertainty and inflation risks, while also announcing a slowdown in the central bank's balance sheet reduction.
$865,286
Fed decision in May?
No change
96%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Cut 25bps
4%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$52,780,849
Fed funds rate in May?
Above 4.25%
96%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 4.50%
1%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$31,893,735
Number of rate cuts in 2025?
2 cuts
19%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––3 cuts
18%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$8,455,308·Annually
Next Fed rate hike?
Before 2027
35%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before 2026
16%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$387,089
How much will the Fed’s balance sheet shrink before 2026?
6.5 trillion
30%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––6 trillion
2%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$19,324
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
Kevin Warsh
58%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Christopher Waller
21%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$10,402