Fed funds rate in January?

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Jan 29, 2025 (+7)

15:28:37

% Chance

$24,911,024vol

Above 4.25%

99%

Above 4.25%

99%

Above 4.50%

<1%

Above 4.50%

<1%

Above 4.75%

--%

Above 4.75%

--%

7 more markets

Rules summary for

Above 4.50%

If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 4.50% following the Federal Reserve's January 29, 2025 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Federal Reserve Board of Governors.

This market will expire the first 2:05 PM ET following the release of a Federal Reserve statement for their January 29, 2025 meeting or one week following the last day of that meeting.

Timeline and payout

About

The federal funds rate is a key interest rate set by the Federal Reserve, influencing borrowing and lending rates across the economy. The Fed uses it to control inflation and support economic growth. Generally, the Fed raises the interest rate to slow down the economy and cuts the interest rate to stimulate growth.

What's happening

New

Federal Reserve officials are expected to hold interest rates steady at their December meeting, according to forecasts from investors and economists. The Fed has raised interest rates 11 times since March 2022 to combat inflation, but recent data suggests that inflation is slowing, which could give the Fed room to pause rate increases. The Fed's benchmark interest rate is currently set in a range of 5.25 to 5.5 percent.

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