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Courts consider Amazon a monopoly?

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Before 2030

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Rules summary
If U.S. District Court for the Western District of Washington rules that Amazon has illegally maintained a monopoly, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from PACER.
Change as of 5:00 AM ET December 15 2023: The market's terms and conditions note that, "The Expiration Date of the Contract shall be the sooner of the date of the first 10:00 AM ET following the occurrence of an event that is encompassed in the Payout Criterion or the first 10:00 AM ET after ." However, the Payout Criterion only encompasses Amazon being found liable for the counts alleged by the FTC, and not just a decision or settlement happening. The language will be amended such that expiration, like the last trading date, will happen once claims are settled, regardless of whether Amazon is found liable for the counts alleged. This will be done as part of the CFTC's provisions that allow for non-economic changes to contracts, and will be reflected in the rules today, December 15th.

Timeline and payout

About
In this highly anticipated antitrust lawsuit, the FTC accuses Amazon of preventing sellers from offering lower prices on other websites and squeezing them with a variety of fees. Amazon argues that it isn't a monopoly and that consumers have various choices in the retail market, and that they have big competitors like Walmart and Chinese brands like Shein. The case is set to begin on October 13th, 2026.
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Courts consider Amazon a monopoly?
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Payout if Yes wins
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