Series Image

Courts consider Apple a monopoly?

9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
%
chance
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
Mar 2024Jun 2024Sep 2024Dec 2024Mar 20250%20%40%60%80%
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL

Before 2030
$19,198vol

Order book


Rules summary
If District Court for the District of New Jersey finds Apple responsible for any of the anti-trust claims made by the Department of Justice, the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from PACER.

Timeline and payout

About
Apple is a dominant player in the technology sector, particularly in the smartphone and personal computer markets. The company's market share and influence have raised antitrust concerns, similar to the Microsoft case, where the court found that Microsoft's dominant position in the operating systems market allowed it to exclude other software developers and maintain its monopoly. The Supreme Court has set a high bar for proving antitrust violations, emphasizing the need to demonstrate significant and durable market power and anticompetitive effects. Recent decisions, such as Ohio v. American Express, have further limited the scope of antitrust enforcement, making it more challenging for plaintiffs to prove harm to multiple parties in a transaction.
Show more
Decoding the market
Case for Before 2030
In a similar antitrust case back in 1999, Microsoft was initially found guilty. (via The WSJ - 3.23.24)
Case for Not before 2030
'We do not expect any business model changes for now, but Apple clearly is going to have to find a way to eventually settle this case, pay a hefty fine, and ultimately find some compromise with developers on the App Store structure down the road,' said Daniel Ives, a managing director at Wedbush Securities, in a note to clients.' (via NWAonline.com - 3.23.24)
Series Image
Courts consider Apple a monopoly?
Buy Yes
Buy
Sell
Dollars
Pick a side
Contracts0
Average price
55¢
Payout if Yes wins
$0