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The President's RCP approval rating on Friday?

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%
forecast
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9:33 PM2:19 AM2:06 PM6:51 PM11:31 PM42%43%44%45%46%
6H
1D
ALL

May 9, 2025
Chance
$2,460,398vol

44.5 or below
27%
▲ 5

44.6 to 45.0
28%
▲ 6

45.1 to 45.5
22%
▼ 9

3 more markets

Rules summary for
44.5 or below
If the President's approval rating is below 44.6% at 11:00 AM ET on May 09, 2025 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from RealClearPolitics.
The market will determine at 11:00 AM ET on May 09, 2025. Note: this event is mutually exclusive.

Timeline and payout

About
Will Biden's approval rating rebound in 2024? The president's future hangs in the balance, as voters weigh in on his handling of the economy, inflation, and the war in Ukraine. The RealClearPolitics (RCP) approval rating is calculated by averaging the results of recent polls, weighted by their sample size, methodology, and house effects.
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The President's RCP approval rating on Friday?
Buy Yes · 44.5 or below
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Average price
26¢
Payout if Yes wins
$0