Argentina's central bank shuts down this year?
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ALL
2025
$44,037vol
Order book
Rules summary
If Argentina has abolished its central bank by Dec 31, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Bloomberg.
This could include the proper dissolution of the bank, or a declaration by the government that the bank is no longer operational. If a new central bank is created immediately thereafter (or in conjunction with abolition of the current bank), abolition is nonetheless encompassed within the Payout Criterion. If a new central bank or monetary authority is created and the original central bank’s powers and duties are transferred to the new one, that would be encompassed by the Payout Criterion. If there is no longer an Argentine currency (e.g. the peso), and acceptable legal tender was only that created by other central banks (e.g. the American dollar) then that would be encompassed within the Payout Criterion. Timeline and payout
About
In November, Argentina elected libertarian Javier Milei as its new president. Deemed by many as a far-right meme, Milei's plans include shutting down the central bank, ditching the peso, and slashing spending—potentially painful reforms that resonated with voters frustrated by Argentina's economic decline. Speculation is rampant over whether Milei will follow through with his promise to shut down the Banco Central de la República Argentina and what the future ramifications would be for the country's economy. Interestingly, until the First World War, Argentina's per capita income was similar to that of the US; now it's only 20% of it.
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Argentina's central bank shuts down this year?
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