Series Image

Fed decision in May?

No change 83%
Cut 25bps 17%
Cut >25bps 3%
Mar 19Mar 22Mar 24Mar 27Mar 300%25%50%75%100%
1D
1W
1M
ALL

May 7, 2025
Chance
$17,774,420vol

No change
83%
▲ 1

Cut 25bps
17%

Cut >25bps
3%

2 more markets

Rules summary for
No change
If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 0bps on May 07, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Federal Reserve.
This market is mutually exclusive. Therefore, if the Federal Reserve hikes by 50bps, the 50bp market will resolve to Yes and the 25bp market will resolve to No. Only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes.Clarification 10:10 AM ET 8/5/24: If a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then all strikes in this market resolve to No. Note: this event is mutually exclusive.

Timeline and payout

About
The FOMC meeting determines interest rate policy. Hiking rates cools down the economy and combats inflation, cutting rates stimulates growth, and keeping rates stable reflects confidence in current conditions. Fun fact: The Federal Reserve's first interest rate cut was in response to the 1929 stock market crash!
Series Image
Fed decision in May?
Buy Yes · No change
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Contracts0
Average price
83¢
Payout if Yes wins
$0