Treasury spread 10Y-2Y by end of year
Treasury spread 10Y-2Y by end of year
Chance
Above 1.00%
13%
Above 1.00%
13%
Market Rules
Above 1.00%
Resolves Yes if the FRED T10Y2Y series (10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 2-Year Treasury Constant Maturity), measured in percent (not seasonally adjusted), on any daily observation dated between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026 (inclusive), is above 1.00%.Outcome verified from Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
Please note that intraday changes will not be reflected in the Underlying, as FRED only posts a single value per day.
Timeline and payout
Market openMar 5, 2026 · 10:00am EST
Market closesDec 31, 2026 · 4:59pm EST
Projected payoutJan 1, 2027 · 4:00am EST
SeriesKX10Y2Y
EventKX10Y2Y-26DEC31
MarketKX10Y2Y-26DEC31-T1.00
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.