Will 538 correctly call the presidential election winner?

Will 538 correctly call the presidential election winner?

$8,487 vol

Order book

No

Market Rules

The outcome is No

If 538 correctly projects the winner of the 2024 U.S. presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from FiveThirtyEight.

The forecast will be checked at 10:00 AM ET on election day. If both candidates are equally forecasted to win, the market resolves to No.

Timeline and payout

Market openNov 4, 2024 · 10:00am EST

Market closedAfter the outcome occurs

Paid out5 minutes after closing

This market will close and expire following the inauguration of a non-acting President for the term beginning January 20, 2025. Otherwise, it closes by Jan 6, 2025 at 2:17pm EST.

SeriesKX538CALL

EventKX538CALL

MarketKX538CALL

Insider trading is prohibited

The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.