Alpha Arena season 1 winning model? Odds & Predictions 2025
Alpha Arena season 1 winning model?
Alpha Arena season 1 winning model?
Qwen3 Max
Yes
Qwen3 Max
Yes
Grok 4
No
Grok 4
No
Deepseek Chat v3.1
No
Deepseek Chat v3.1
No
3 more
Market Rules
Qwen3 Max
The outcome is Qwen3 Max
Resolves Yes ifQwen3 Max wins the Alpha Arena by Nof1 Season 1.Outcome verified from Nof1 Leaderboard.
Note: this event is mutually exclusive.
Timeline and payout
Market openOct 20, 2025 · 7:30pm EDT
Market closedAfter the outcome occurs
Paid out5 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire after a title holder is declared. Otherwise, it closes by Nov 4, 2025 at 7:11pm EST.
SeriesKXALPHAARENA
EventKXALPHAARENA-25
MarketKXALPHAARENA-25-QWEN
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Current and former players, coaches, and staff of the league, association, or organization(s) governing the event. For college leagues/associations specifically, or where otherwise appropriate (as identified by the Exchange), this applies to current and former players/coaches/staff of the specific teams in <event> rather than the league/association as a whole (e.g., if the Division I Gonzaga Men’s Basketball Team is playing in <event>, this prohibition will restrict trades by current/former players of that team, rather than all current/former players/coaches/staff in any NCAA sport).
Paid employees of the league and league participants
Owners of teams and the league
and household members and immediate family of all above
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.