Who will win the National Book Award for Young People's Literature? Odds & Predictions 2025
Who will win the National Book Award for Young People's Literature?
Who will win the National Book Award for Young People's Literature?
The Teacher of Nomad Land: A World War II Story
Daniel Nayeri
Yes
The Teacher of Nomad Land: A World War II Story
Daniel Nayeri
Yes
A Sea of Lemon Trees: The Corrido of Roberto Alvarez
María Dolores Águila
No
A Sea of Lemon Trees: The Corrido of Roberto Alvarez
María Dolores Águila
No
The Incredibly Human Henson Blayze
Derrick Barnes
No
The Incredibly Human Henson Blayze
Derrick Barnes
No
8 more
Important information: The following market can only have one Yes outcome. If two nominees tie then the market called 'Tie' will resolve to Yes.
Market Rules
The Teacher of Nomad Land: A World War II Story
The outcome is The Teacher of Nomad Land: A World War II Story
Resolves Yes if'The Teacher of Nomad Land: A World War II Story' wins the Young People's Literature award at 76th National Book Awards.Outcome verified from National Book Awards.
The 76th National Book Awards will take place Wednesday, November 19, 2025.
Note: this event is mutually exclusive.
Timeline and payout
Market openSep 25, 2025 · 10:00am EDT
Market closedAfter the outcome occurs
Paid out30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Nov 20, 2025 at 10:02am EST.
SeriesKXBOOKAWARDSYPLIT
EventKXBOOKAWARDSYPLIT-25
MarketKXBOOKAWARDSYPLIT-25-TEA
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