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Will Mark Carney lose their seat?
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
%
chance
▼
9
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3
2
1
0
0
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Apr 12
Apr 18
Apr 23
May 7
0%
5%
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20%
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
2025 (+0)
$31,646
vol
Order book
No
Rules summary
Learn more
The outcome is No
If Mark Carney loses the first parliamentary election that they stand in after Issuance, then the market resolves to
Yes
.
Sources from
The New York Times
,
the Associated Press
,
Reuters
,
Axios
,
Politico
,
Semafor
,
The Information
,
The Washington Post
,
The Wall Street Journal
,
ABC
,
CBS
,
CNN
,
Fox News
, and
MSNBC
.
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20%