Series Image

Will Mark Carney lose their seat?

9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
%
chance
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
Apr 7Apr 12Apr 18Apr 23May 70%5%10%15%20%
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL

2025 (+0)
$31,646vol

No


Rules summary
The outcome is No
If Mark Carney loses the first parliamentary election that they stand in after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from The New York Times, the Associated Press, Reuters, Axios, Politico, Semafor, The Information, The Washington Post, The Wall Street Journal, ABC, CBS, CNN, Fox News, and MSNBC.

Timeline and payout