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Who will be the next German Chancellor?
Friedrich Merz 98%
Greens Leader 4%
Alice Weidel 1%
Nov
Dec
Jan
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Apr
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75%
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For the next Parliament
Chance
$334,250
vol
Friedrich Merz
98%
Yes
No
1¢
Friedrich Merz
98%
Yes
No
1¢
Greens Leader
--%
Yes
1¢
No
Greens Leader
--%
Yes
1¢
No
Alice Weidel
<1%
Yes
1¢
No
Alice Weidel
<1%
Yes
1¢
No
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Friedrich Merz
If the first Chancellor for the next session of Parliament is a member of CDU/CSU, then the market resolves to
Yes
.
Outcome verified from
Politico
.
Note: this event is mutually exclusive.
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Who will be the next German Chancellor?
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· Friedrich Merz
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