How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030?

Chance

At least 440

88%

At least 440

At least 445

At least 445

At least 450

At least 450

2 more

At least 440

If the atmospheric concentration of CO2 is at least 440 before Jan 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from the National Aeronautics and Space Administration and with data provided by NOAA Global Monitoring Laboratory.

Note: this event is directional.

Timeline and payout

Market openJul 2, 2025 · 10:00am EDT

Market closesAfter the outcome occurs

Projected payout30 minutes after closing

This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Dec 31, 2029 at 11:59pm EST.

SeriesKXCO2LEVEL

EventKXCO2LEVEL-30

MarketKXCO2LEVEL-30-440

Insider trading is prohibited

The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.