Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in the state of California 2025? Odds & Predictions
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in the state of California before 2026?
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in the state of California before 2026?
$95,188 vol
Before 2026
No
Before 2026
No
Market Rules
Before 2026
The outcome is No
If there is at least an earthquake of 8.0 magnitude with an epicenter in the state of California or its territorial waters before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves toYes. Outcome verified from USGS.
Timeline and payout
Market openJun 21, 2025 · 1:00pm EDT
Market closedAfter the outcome occurs
Paid out30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Dec 31, 2025 at 6:51pm EST.
SeriesKXEARTHQUAKECALIFORNIA
EventKXEARTHQUAKECALIFORNIA-26
MarketKXEARTHQUAKECALIFORNIA-26
Insider trading is prohibited
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Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
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