Which countries will report an Ebola disease case before July?
Which countries will report an Ebola disease case before July?
Chance
Kenya
14%
Kenya
14%
Rwanda
12%
▼ 7
Rwanda
12%
▼ 7
South Sudan
4%
▼ 16
South Sudan
4%
▼ 16
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Market Rules
Burundi
If a confirmed human case of Ebola disease in Burundi is officially reported before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from the relevant national, international, or subnational health agencies for <geography>,, Bloomberg, CDC, the World Health Organization, New York Times, Reuters, and Associated Press.
Only confirmed cases qualify; suspected, probable, or presumptive cases do not. Animal cases do not qualify. The case must be confirmed in Burundi — a citizen of Burundi diagnosed elsewhere does not count. Imported cases diagnosed within Burundi do count. Resolution is based on the date of official confirmation, not symptom onset. Cases confirmed after Jul 1, 2026 do not qualify even if infection occurred earlier.
Timeline and payout
Market openMay 23, 2026 · 12:30pm EDT
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
SeriesKXEBOLACOUNTRY
EventKXEBOLACOUNTRY-JUL26
MarketKXEBOLACOUNTRY-JUL26-BUR
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