Which countries will report an Ebola disease case before October?
Which countries will report an Ebola disease case before October?
Begins in 89 days · Sep 30, 12:00am EDT
Chance
Burundi
30%
Burundi
30%
Central African Republic
24%
Central African Republic
24%
South Sudan
46%
South Sudan
46%
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Market Rules
Tanzania
Resolves Yes if a confirmed human case of Ebola disease in Tanzania is officially reported before Oct 1, 2026.Outcome verified from the relevant national, international, or subnational health agencies for country, Bloomberg, CDC, the World Health Organization, New York Times, Reuters, and Associated Press.
Only confirmed cases qualify; suspected, probable, or presumptive cases do not. Animal cases do not qualify. The case must be confirmed in Tanzania — a citizen of Tanzania diagnosed elsewhere does not count. Imported cases diagnosed within Tanzania do count. Resolution is based on the date of official confirmation, not symptom onset. Cases confirmed after Oct 1, 2026 do not qualify even if infection occurred earlier.
Timeline and payout
Market openJul 1, 2026 · 5:39pm EDT
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
SeriesKXEBOLACOUNTRY
EventKXEBOLACOUNTRY-OCT26
MarketKXEBOLACOUNTRY-OCT26-TANZ
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Tanzania
Odds
0% chanceMax payout