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  1. Trump

Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act?

Chance
Before Jan 1, 2027
2.8%
▼ 3.2

Before Jan 1, 2027

2.8%
▼ 3.2
Before Jan 1, 2028
22%

Before Jan 1, 2028

22%
Before Jan 20, 2029
41%

Before Jan 20, 2029

41%
5 more
Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act?

Before Dec 1, 2026

Odds
2% chance
Max payout
Dec 1, 2026
$0
$1,733,454 vol
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