Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act?
Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act?
Chance
Before 2027
19%
▲ 2
Before 2027
19%
▲ 2
Before Jan 20, 2029
45%
▼ 1
Before Jan 20, 2029
45%
▼ 1
Before March 2026
No
Before March 2026
No
3 more
Market Rules
Before 2027
Resolves Yes if the President of the United States has invoked the Insurrection Act to deploy the United States military and/or the federalized National Guard within the United States before Jan 1, 2027.Outcome verified from the White House, The New York Times, the Associated Press, Reuters, Axios, Politico, Semafor, The Information, The Washington Post, The Wall Street Journal, ABC, CBS, CNN, Fox News, and MSNBC.
Timeline and payout
Market openJan 3, 2026 · 10:00am EST
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
SeriesKXINSURRECTION
EventKXINSURRECTION-29
MarketKXINSURRECTION-29-27
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The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
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Before 2027
Odds
0% chanceMax payout