Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act?
Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act?
Chance
Before 2027
15%
▼ 3
Before 2027
15%
▼ 3
Before Jan 20, 2029
50%
Before Jan 20, 2029
50%
Before March 2026
No
Before March 2026
No
3 more
Market Rules
Before 2027
If the President of the United States has invoked the Insurrection Act to deploy the United States military and/or the federalized National Guard within the United States before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from the White House, The New York Times, the Associated Press, Reuters, Axios, Politico, Semafor, The Information, The Washington Post, The Wall Street Journal, ABC, CBS, CNN, Fox News, and MSNBC.
Timeline and payout
Market openJan 3, 2026 · 10:00am EST
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
SeriesKXINSURRECTION
EventKXINSURRECTION-29
MarketKXINSURRECTION-29-27
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.