ISM Manufacturing PMI in March 2026 Odds & Predictions
ISM Manufacturing PMI in March 2026
ISM Manufacturing PMI in March 2026
At least 51
Yes
At least 51
Yes
At least 52
Yes
At least 52
Yes
At least 53
No
At least 53
No
5 more
Market Rules
At least 48
The outcome is 52.7
If the headline PMI value in the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business for March 2026, as published by ISM (one decimal place), is at least 48 in Mar 2026, then the market resolves toYes. Outcome verified from ISM.
Note: this event is directional.
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Timeline and payout
Market openMar 5, 2026 · 10:00am EST
Market closedAfter the outcome occurs
Paid out30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Apr 1, 2026 at 9:59am EDT.
SeriesKXISMPMI
EventKXISMPMI-26MAR
MarketKXISMPMI-26MAR-48
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.