Important information: If a listed party merges into, is absorbed by, or otherwise ceases to contest the election as a separate party, it resolves to No at Expiration. Only the successor or surviving party that wins seats in the election may resolve to Yes. For the avoidance of doubt, only one listed option will resolve to Yes.
Who will win the next Israeli legislative election?
Who will win the next Israeli legislative election?
51%
51%
38%
38%
1.1%
1.1%
Market Rules
The market resolves based on the official certification or declaration by the relevant electoral authority. For a parliamentary or legislative election, the winner is the party or formal pre-election coalition that wins the most seats in the specified chamber, even if they do not form the government. If there is a tie for the most seats, the winner is the party that enters government; if that doesn't resolve the tie, the winner is the party with the higher share of the vote. If an election is postponed, the contract remains open until the new date, for a maximum of two years. Contested results are resolved based on the final certified outcome by the appropriate electoral authority or highest court with jurisdiction.
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Any candidate currently listed as a market within this event