Which parties will gain seats in the 2026 Japanese House of Representatives election?
Which parties will gain seats in the 2026 Japanese House of Representatives election?
Japan Innovation Party (Ishin)
JIP
Yes
Japan Innovation Party (Ishin)
JIP
Yes
Sanseitō
Yes
Sanseitō
Yes
Liberal Democratic Party
LDP
Yes
Liberal Democratic Party
LDP
Yes
3 more
Market Rules
Japan Innovation Party (Ishin)
If Nippon Ishin no Kai experiences a gain of seats in the 2026 Japanese House of Representatives election, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Central Election Management Council.
Seat changes are measured relative to seats held immediately before the election. Gains mean more seats than before; losses mean fewer seats. Only certified election results count. Seats not contested in the election are excluded from calculations. If a party is newly formed, all seats won count as gains. Changes in total chamber size don't affect the net seat calculation - it's based on absolute seat count changes, not proportional representation.
Timeline and payout
Market openJan 19, 2026 · 7:30pm EST
Market closedAfter the outcome occurs
Paid out30 minutes after closing
SeriesKXJAPANHOUSEGAIN
EventKXJAPANHOUSEGAIN-26FEB08
MarketKXJAPANHOUSEGAIN-26FEB08-NISH
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