Who will win the election for Mayor of San Francisco?
Who will win the election for Mayor of San Francisco?
Daniel Lurie
Yes
Daniel Lurie
Yes
Aaron Peskin
No
Aaron Peskin
No
London Breed
No
London Breed
No
Mark Farrell
No
Mark Farrell
No
Market Rules
Daniel Lurie
If Daniel Lurie is sworn in as the next Mayor of San Francisco, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Office of the Mayor of San Francisco.
Note: this event is mutually exclusive.
Timeline and payout
Market openNov 1, 2024 · 10:00am EDT
Market closedAfter the outcome occurs
Paid out5 minutes after closing
SeriesKXMAYORSF
EventKXMAYORSF-24
MarketKXMAYORSF-24-DL
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Holders of citywide and statewide public office
- Paid campaign staffers on mayoral campaigns.
- Anyone working in a vote-tallying capacity, or who has the potential ability to observe official vote counts before they are public.
- Third-party vendors and contractors (and employees thereof) of mayoral campaigns.
- Paid employees of Political Action Committees (PACs) and “Super PACs” (independent expenditure only political committees).
- Paid employees of major polling organizations.
- Employees of Decision Desks at major media organizations.
- All staff of the California legislature and its members.
- All staff of the U.S. Senate and its members.
- All staff of the Office of the Governor and Lieutenant Governor of the state of California.
- All staff of the Office of the Secretary of State of California.
- All staff of the Mayor of San Francisco.
- All staff of the California Supreme Court and its Justices.
- Any foreign national. This is defined as an individual who is: (1) not a citizen of the United States and (2) not lawfully admitted for permanent residence (as defined in 8 U.S.C. § 1101(a)(20)); or a foreign principal, as defined in 22 U.S.C. § 611(b). Section 611(b) defines a foreign principal to include a foreign government or political party; or a partnership, association, corporation, organization, or other combination of persons organized under the laws of a foreign country or whose principal place of business is in a foreign country.
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.