Series Image

Will Elon Musk leave the DOGE?

Before the end of DOGE 66%
Before 2026 36%
Before 100 day mark 27%
Live bets: Kalshi.com
NovDecJanJanFeb0%25%50%75%100%
1D
1W
1M
ALL

Leave the DOGE
% Chance
$228,871vol

Before the end of DOGE
Before Jul 5, 2026
66%
+3
Before the end of DOGE
Before Jul 5, 2026
66%
+3

Before 2026
36%
-23
Before 2026
36%
-23

Before 100 day mark
Before May 1, 2025
27%
-13
Before 100 day mark
Before May 1, 2025
27%
-13

Rules summary for
Before 2026
If Elon Musk has left the Department of Government Efficiency before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from The New York Times.
If Elon Musk continues to work for the Department of Government Efficiency on Jan 1, 2026 this respective market will resolve No.

Timeline and payout

Series Image
Will Elon Musk leave the DOGE?
Buy Yes · Before 2026
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Contracts0
Average price
50¢
Payout if Yes wins
$0