Will Trump punish SpaceX?
Will Trump punish SpaceX?
Chance
Before Jul 2026
2.9%
Before Jul 2026
2.9%
Before Jul 2025
No
Before Jul 2025
No
Before Jan 2026
No
Before Jan 2026
No
Market Rules
Before Jul 2026
If NASA or the Department of Defense cancel any of SpaceX's contracts, exclude them from bidding, or Congress passes a law or the President signs Executive Order with anti-SpaceX provisions before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from Government Accountability Office, SpaceNews, NASA, The Source Agencies are the United States Department of Defense, SpaceX, official White House press pool reports, the United States Congress, Federal Register, New York Times, the Associated Press, Bloomberg News, Reuters, and The Washington Post.
Timeline and payout
Market openJun 7, 2025 · 10:00am EDT
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
SeriesKXMUSKNASA
EventKXMUSKNASA
MarketKXMUSKNASA-26-JUL01
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.