Will Trump nationalize SpaceX?
Will Trump nationalize SpaceX?
Chance
Before Jul 2026
<1%
Before Jul 2026
<1%
Before Jan 2027
8%
▼ 1
Before Jan 2027
8%
▼ 1
Before Jan 2026
No
Before Jan 2026
No
Market Rules
Before Jul 2026
If the United States begins the process of nationalizing SpaceX before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from relevant federal courts, <company>, official White House press pool reports, the United States Congress, Federal Register, Securities and Exchange Commission, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve, Department of the Treasury, Department of Justice Office of the Pardon Attorney, New York Times, the Associated Press, Bloomberg News, Reuters, Axios, Politico, Semafor, Energy Information Administration, The Washington Post, The Wall Street Journal, ABC, CBS, CNN, Fox News, and MSNBC.
Please see full rules for details.
Timeline and payout
Market openJun 6, 2025 · 4:45pm EDT
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
SeriesKXNATIONALIZESPACEX
EventKXNATIONALIZESPACEX
MarketKXNATIONALIZESPACEX-26-JUL01
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.