Who will be the next leader of Liberal Democratic Party (LDP)?
Who will be the next leader of Liberal Democratic Party (LDP)?
Sanae Takaichi
Yes
Sanae Takaichi
Yes
Shinjiro Koizumi
No
Shinjiro Koizumi
No
Yoshimasa Hayashi
No
Yoshimasa Hayashi
No
4 more
Market Rules
Sanae Takaichi
Resolves Yes if Sanae Takaichi is announced as the first new non-interim leader of Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) before Jan 1, 2026.Outcome verified from The New York Times, the Associated Press, Reuters, Axios, Politico, Semafor, The Information, The Washington Post, The Wall Street Journal, ABC, CBS, CNN, Fox News, and MSNBC.
The market resolves when the first new non-interim leader is officially announced by the party or credible sources. The person need not have taken office before the deadline date, only be announced as the incoming leader. Interim or acting leaders do not qualify unless they are subsequently announced as the permanent leader. If multiple persons are simultaneously announced as co-leaders, the market resolves proportionally. Leadership contests that extend beyond the deadline date without an announcement resolve to No. The announcement must come from official party channels or be confirmed by multiple credible news sources.
Timeline and payout
Market openSep 8, 2025 · 10:00am EDT
Market closedAfter the outcome occurs
Paid out30 minutes after closing
SeriesKXNEXTLDPLEADER
EventKXNEXTLDPLEADER-26JAN01
MarketKXNEXTLDPLEADER-26JAN01-STAK
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Sanae Takaichi
Odds
0% chanceMax payout