How many NYC boroughs will have a margin of victory over 15% in the Mayoral election?
How many NYC boroughs will have a margin of victory over 15% in the Mayoral election?
Exactly 2
Yes
Exactly 2
Yes
Exactly 0
No
Exactly 0
No
Exactly 1
No
Exactly 1
No
3 more
Market Rules
Exactly 2
Resolves Yes if the number of boroughs in the 2025 NYC mayoral election decided by a margin of victory above 15% is exactly 2.Outcome verified from the New York City Board of Elections..
Margins of victory in each geography are calculated as the winner's vote percentage minus the runner-up's vote percentage. Uncontested elections are treated as 100 percentage point margins. Tied elections have 0 percentage point margins. If an election is cancelled, postponed beyond the expiration date, or lacks certified results by expiration, it is excluded from the count. For multi-winner elections, each winner's margin is calculated relative to the next-highest candidate not elected.
For the purposes of this market, the specific party or candidate who wins each borough does not impact the margin of victory calculation.
Timeline and payout
Market openOct 7, 2025 · 11:00am EDT
Market closedAfter the outcome occurs
Paid out30 minutes after closing
SeriesKXNYCMAYOR
EventKXNYCMAYOR-25NOV04
MarketKXNYCMAYOR-25NOV04-2
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