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The Oscars

Begins in 1h 50m 11s · Mar 2, 6:45 PM EST

Trump 61%
Karla Sofía Gascón 54%
Disney 47%
Live bets: Kalshi.com
5:08 PM6:19 PM7:31 PM8:43 PM9:54 PM40%50%60%70%80%
1D
1W
1M
ALL

2025
17h 5m 11s
% Chance
$33,641vol

Trump
61%
-2

Karla Sofía Gascón
54%
+7

Disney
47%
-6

More markets

Important information: The following market is available to be traded during the Oscars and will be determined shortly after the ceremony has ended.

Rules summary for
Disney
If the host of the Oscars says Disney, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences.
Video of the Oscars will be primarily used to resolve the market. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Hyphenated or compound words used with will not be included.

Timeline and payout

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What will Conan say at the Oscars?
Buy Yes · Disney
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Payout if Yes wins
$0