How many people will Trump pardon in January?

How many people will Trump pardon in January?

No

4 to 25

Yes

4 to 25

Yes

26 to 100

No

26 to 100

No

4 more

Market Rules

The outcome is No

If the President pardons, commutes the sentence of, or gives reprieve to exactly 0 persons after Issuance and before Feb 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from White House and The New York Times.

Note: this event is mutually exclusive.

Timeline and payout

Market openJan 3, 2026 · 10:00am EST

Market closedAfter the outcome occurs

Paid out30 minutes after closing

This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Jan 16, 2026 at 5:00pm EST.

SeriesKXPARDONSTRUMP

EventKXPARDONSTRUMP-26JAN

MarketKXPARDONSTRUMP-26JAN-0

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The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
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