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How many people will Trump pardon this month? Odds & Predictions 2026
Politics
·
Recurring
How many people will Trump pardon this month?
Politics
·
Recurring
How many people will Trump pardon this month?
Chance
25 to 99
9%
Yes
9¢
No
92¢
25 to 99
9%
Yes
9¢
No
92¢
100 to 249
7%
▼ 1
Yes
8¢
No
93¢
100 to 249
7%
▼ 1
Yes
8¢
No
93¢
Above 249
38%
▲ 4
Yes
38¢
No
66¢
Above 249
38%
▲ 4
Yes
38¢
No
66¢
5 more
Market Rules
0
Resolves Yes if
the President pardons, commutes the sentence of, or gives reprieve to exactly 0 persons in July 2026
.
Outcome verified from
White House
,
the Department of Justice
, and
The New York Times
.
Note: this event is mutually exclusive.
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Timeline and payout
Market open
Jun 30, 2026 · 10:00am EDT
Market closes
After the outcome occurs
Projected payout
30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Aug 1, 2026 at 10:00am EDT.
Series
KXPARDONSTRUMP
Event
KXPARDONSTRUMP-26JUL
Market
KXPARDONSTRUMP-26JUL-0
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Buy
Sell
Dollars
0
YES --
NO --
Dollars
$
Odds
0% chance
Max payout
$0
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