How much will core PCE increase in August? Odds & Predictions 2026
How much will core PCE increase in August?
How much will core PCE increase in August?
Begins in 112 days · Sep 30, 8:00am EDT
Chance
Above 0.1%
83%
▲ 5
Above 0.1%
83%
▲ 5
Above 0.2%
59%
▲ 3
Above 0.2%
59%
▲ 3
Above 0.3%
30%
▲ 1
Above 0.3%
30%
▲ 1
2 more
Market Rules
Above 0.0%
If the (single-decimal) month-over-month percent change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy is above 0.0% in August 2026 according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves toYes. Outcome verified from Bureau of Economic Analysis.
The market will close at 8:25 AM ET on the expected release of the data. It will expire at the sooner of the first 10:00 AM ET following the release of the data, or one week after the expected release of the data.
Note: this event is directional.
Timeline and payout
Market openNov 6, 2025 · 10:00am EST
Market closesSep 30, 2026 · 8:25am EDT
Projected payoutSep 30, 2026 · 11:00am EDT
SeriesKXPCECORE
EventKXPCECORE-26AUG
MarketKXPCECORE-26AUG-T0.0
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.