How many reconciliation bills will pass this year?
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
.
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
▼ 00
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
.
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
2025
% Chance
$17,081vol
0
Bills passed in 20245%
1
Bills passed in Trump's first year (2017)72%
2
Tied for most bills passed in one year26%
3 more markets
Rules summary for
1
If 1 reconciliation bills become law in 2025, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Library of Congress.
Note: this event is mutually exclusive.Timeline and payout
People are also trading
How many votes will the next reconciliation bill get in the House?
15% chance
· 219
When will a budget reconciliation bill become law?
33% chance
· Before July 2025
When will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill?
33% chance
· Before June 2025
What will be in the next reconciliation bill?
55% chance
· Higher work requirement for SNAP recipientsHow many reconciliation bills will pass this year?
Buy Yes · 1Bills passed in Trump's first year (2017)Buy
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