When will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill?
Before June 2025 12%
Before September 2025 72%
Before December 2025 77%
1D
1W
1M
ALL
2025
Chance
$272,548vol
Before June 2025
12%
▼ 7
Before September 2025
72%
▼ 5
Before December 2025
77%
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Rules summary for
Before September 2025
If a reconciliation bill passes the Senate before September 01, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Library of Congress.
Such bills typically begin with the phrase: “To provide for reconciliation pursuant to…" Timeline and payout
About
Reconciliation bills are special budget-related measures used to advance legislation on federal spending, revenue, and debt limits. These bills streamline the legislative process in the Senate by allowing passage with a simple majority rather than the typical 60 votes needed to overcome a filibuster. They typically begin with the phrase: "To provide for reconciliation pursuant to..." and are tied to budget resolutions passed earlier in the legislative session. This market focuses on whether the Senate will pass a reconciliation bill before May 1, 2025.
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