When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?
Before June 2025 26%
Before September 2025 74%
Before December 2025 90%
1D
1W
1M
ALL
2025
Chance
$387,900vol
Before June 2025
26%
▼ 6
Before September 2025
74%
Before December 2025
90%
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Rules summary for
Before June 2025
If a reconciliation bill passes the House before June 01, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Library of Congress.
Such bills typically begin with the phrase: “To provide for reconciliation pursuant to…" Timeline and payout
About
Reconciliation bills are a key tool for advancing budget-related legislation in Congress, addressing issues such as spending, revenue, and the federal debt limit. These bills are designed to expedite the legislative process, requiring only a majority vote in the House. They typically begin with the phrase: "To provide for reconciliation pursuant to..." and are closely tied to budget resolutions passed earlier in the legislative session. This market focuses on whether the House of Representatives will pass a reconciliation bill before May 1, 2025.
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· MedianWhen will the House pass a reconciliation bill?
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