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Will the Taiwanese referendum on the Maanshan Nuclear Power Plant pass? Odds & Predictions 2026
Elections
Will the Taiwanese referendum on the Maanshan Nuclear Power Plant pass?
Elections
Will the Taiwanese referendum on the Maanshan Nuclear Power Plant pass?
Order book
No
Market Rules
The outcome is No
Resolves Yes if
the Taiwanese referendum on the operation of the Maanshan Nuclear Power Plant's second reactor in Taiwan passes
.
Outcome verified from
in hierarchical order
,
official electoral commission or equivalent authority of geography
,
the Associated Press
,
Reuters
,
Bloomberg News
,
BBC News
,
CNN International
,
The New York Times
,
The Washington Post
,
The Wall Street Journal
,
Politico
,
Axios
,
ABC News
,
CBS News
,
NBC News
,
Fox News
,
MSNBC
, and
official government website of geography
.
View full rules
Help center
Report Insider Trading
Timeline and payout
Market open
Aug 15, 2025 · 10:00am EDT
Market closed
After the outcome occurs
Paid out
30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Sep 10, 2025 at 1:50pm EDT.
Series
KXTAIWANREF
Event
KXTAIWANREF-26
Market
KXTAIWANREF-26
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Any candidate currently listed as a market within this event
$22,788 vol