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Will Tesla close its Berlin factory in 2025? Odds & Predictions
Companies
Will Tesla close its Berlin factory in 2025?
Companies
Will Tesla close its Berlin factory in 2025?
$9,510 vol
Order book
No
Market Rules
The outcome is No
If Tesla closes or announces it will close its Berlin Gigafactory before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to
Yes
.
Sources from
Elon Musk
,
Tesla
,
Friedrich Merz
,
The New York Times
,
the Associated Press
,
Reuters
,
Financial Times
,
The Economist
,
Deutsche Welle
,
der Spiegel
,
Politico
,
Semafor
,
The Information
,
CNN
,
Fox News
,
MSNBC
, and
CNBC
.
An announcement is sufficient to resolve the market to Yes.
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Timeline and payout
Market open
Jun 12, 2025 · 4:45pm EDT
Market closed
After the outcome occurs
Paid out
30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Dec 31, 2025 at 11:59pm EST.
Series
KXTESLAFACTORY
Event
KXTESLAFACTORY-26
Market
KXTESLAFACTORY-26
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.